Politics / February 24, 2026

The Giant Mess Behind the Supreme Court’s Tariffs Ruling

The 6–3 decision was a rare victory, but it was crafted out of conflicts that leave almost nothing certain—including future tariff rulings.

Elie Mystal

A television on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange broadcasts news about the Supreme Court striking down Donald Trump’s global tariffs.

(Michael Nagle / Bloomberg via Getty Images)

On Friday, Donald Trump delivered a characteristically unhinged press conference in the wake of his 6–3 defeat in Learning Resources, Inc v. Trump—better known as the tariffs case. The court ruled that the tariffs Trump issued under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act were unconstitutional, and the loss sent Trump into a rage. He castigated the justices who ruled against him, including the Republican ones, calling them “sleazebags” and “slimeballs” and accusing them of being under the influence of foreign powers. He praised the dissenting justices, specifically calling out alleged attempted rapist Brett Kavanaugh as a “genius.” He then seemed to treat the dissent as if it were the winning, majority opinion and imposed new 10 percent global tariffs under a different statute (which he raised to 15 percent over the weekend… because, why not), brushed off the statutory language dictating that his new tariffs must expire in 150 days, and said that the law is now “clear” about his authority to issue tariffs without going to Congress first.

Friends, nothing is “clear.” It’s not clear if the government will have to make restitution to the businesses that have been hit with illegal taxes under the Trump administration’s tariff regime. (This is what the plaintiffs in Learning Resources were actually asking for). It’s not clear if the majority of the Supreme Court will approve of these new tariffs. And if they don’t approve, it’s not clear that Trump will follow the court’s orders when it rules against him. The only thing that is clear is that the global trade economy remains at the mercy of the whims of a madman, while American consumers will continue to pay the price for Trump’s petty international squabbles.

One reason for all this confusion is that the Supreme Court’s conservatives are split on how to apply what they call the “major questions doctrine.” The court didn’t actually use the doctrine in this case, but the conservatives wanted to. The liberals held firm and Trump lost on different grounds, but most of the hundreds of pages of the decision involved the Republicans sniping at each other over this idea.

According to those who believe in it, the major questions doctrine holds that for issues of economic or political “significance,” the Constitution does not intend for the president to act unilaterally. “Major” issues must be decided through legislation, and if Congress wants to give the president unilateral powers, it must do so through clear, precise statutory language.

In theory, the major questions doctrine limits what a president can do without the support of Congress. That has been a long-term goal of conservatives since at least Lyndon Johnson and the civil rights era. But in practice, it puts all the power in the hands of the Supreme Court. Whenever Republicans on the Supreme Court talk about restoring power to Congress, they’re really talking about grabbing power for themselves: What’s an issue of economic or political significance? Only the Supreme Court knows. What constitutes clear and precise statutory language? Only the Supreme Court knows. A reasonable person, president, or legislator cannot know what a “major question” is, or what language is clear enough to avoid running into a problem. Under the major questions doctrine, all roads lead to the Supreme Court. To paraphrase George W. Bush, the Supreme Court, not Congress or the president, becomes “the decider.”

The reason Republicans on the court spent so much time yelling at one another over this doctrine that didn’t actually decide the case is because the major questions doctrine has a critical flaw: It’s entirely made-up. It’s not written down anywhere—not in the Constitution, not in the Declaration of Independence, not in the Magna Carta, not in the Bible or the Mahabharata. It’s just not a historical thing. Nobody currently on the court learned about major questions doctrine in law school, because it hadn’t been invented back when they were in law school. Conservative law professors essentially concocted this “doctrine” circa 2014 (they say necessity is the mother of all invention, and the existence of a Black president certainly seemed to necessitate the invention of ways of curtail Barack Obama’s powers) as they were trying to find some way to limit the effectiveness of Obamacare. Justice Neil Gorsuch soon became the idea’s champion.

Current Issue

Cover of April 2026 Issue

You can see why this doctrine is useful to a power-hungry Supreme Court justice. At its core, it allows the unelected members of the court to overrule the policies of an elected president because it deems those policies important. That’s a wild, unrestrained power. Imagine going through the trouble of winning an entire presidential election only to be told by the court that you can’t enact your policies because they are “politically significant.” The major questions doctrine places the Supreme Court first among allegedly equal branches of government.

All of the Republicans on the high court now agree that their imaginary power is real, but, luckily for those of us who would like to vote for our leaders, that’s all the Republicans can agree on when it comes to this doctrine. They don’t agree on where, legally speaking, the major questions doctrine comes from, when it should be used, or what (if any) limitations should be placed on the power they’ve given themselves. That’s why the doctrine has thus far only been used to stop the policies of Joe Biden. In the case of Biden’s student debt relief policy, for instance, the Republicans could agree that they didn’t like the policy—and, since they didn’t have any constitutional or legal reasons to block it, they invoked the major questions doctrine to stop it.

The tariffs are a different matter. The Republicans on the court didn’t agree that Trump’s tariffs were bad policy, so they couldn’t agree on whether or even how to use their new “Democrats lose” button against Trump. Justices John Roberts, Neil Gorsuch, and Amy Coney Barrett all said that the doctrine could be used to prohibit Trump’s tariffs, but the liberal justices—Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan, and Ketanji Brown Jackson—refused to invoke the doctrine. Trump lost the case, 6–3, on the point that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act did not give Trump the authority he claimed to impose tariffs. That’s it, no major questions required.

Democrats in Congress could learn something from the liberal women on the Supreme Court. Despite being in the minority, and despite being offered a whackadoodle theory that would have secured them a short-term victory in this case, the liberal justices held firm, didn’t blink, and forced the conservative supermajority to try to find the votes for their antidemocratic “doctrine” among themselves.

The Nation Weekly

Fridays. A weekly digest of the best of our coverage.
By signing up, you confirm that you are over the age of 16 and agree to receive occasional promotional offers for programs that support The Nation’s journalism. You may unsubscribe or adjust your preferences at any time. You can read our Privacy Policy here.

The Republicans couldn’t. They fractured on how to use the major questions doctrine in the tariffs case, with justices Roberts, Gorsuch, Barrett, Kavanaugh, and Clarence Thomas all writing separately, each with their own pet theories on how it should work. I’ve seen this kind of splintering of a narrative before because… I watch all Star Wars content. The major questions doctrine is just as much of a fiction as “the Force.” If you watch Star Wars and its trillions of spinoffs, you know that the different writers give Jedis and Sith different powers, abilities, and weaknesses, based on what they need the Force-users to do in their stories. It’s the same with Republicans on the Supreme Court. One of the principal benefits of basing your universe on a fictional power is that it can do whatever you say it can do; the drawback is that different people will say it can do different things.

Only three Republican justices thought that the major questions doctrine should be used in the tariffs case, but even they disagreed about how and why. Chief Justice Roberts said that the major questions doctrine must apply to tariffs, if it applies to anything, because the power to tax (which is what a tariff is) is the most “major” economic issue to the country. Gorsuch said the doctrine is a bedrock constitutional principle (it’s not) that must be strictly applied in nearly all cases where the president acts without explicit congressional authority (including this one). Barrett, in contrast, said that using the major questions doctrine is a “common sense” analytical tool, but need not be the only thing the court considers.

The dissenters also couldn’t come to a consensus. Kavanaugh said that the doctrine “does not apply in the foreign affairs context,” meaning that presidents can do as they please in foreign matters (like imposing tariffs) as long as there is a sliver of congressional authority for them to do so. Kavanaugh’s formulation is a completely new thing that had never said about the doctrine until Friday, and reeks of him making something up on the fly to please Trump. Thomas, meanwhile, agreed with Kavanaugh, but went even further, basically crowning the president a pirate king completely untethered from Congress as soon as his desires hit the water’s edge. Justice Samuel Alito joined Kavanaugh’s dissent but didn’t write separately—I assume because he was too busy planning his retirement party.

All of this chaos means I really can’t tell you how the Supreme Court will decide the next tariff case. Will the Republicans band together to decide that the language in other statutes supports Trump’s tariffs “more clearly”? Or will they continue their sectarian war over whose imaginary friend is more powerful? And what about all of the non-tariff cases where major questions might also apply? Is birthright citizenship a “major question” or is it a foreign policy issue where the president is a god-king? Will Luke Skywalker ever be able to shoot lightning from his fingertips, or is that something only “bad” people do? Who can know? Who can ever know when the Supreme Court is just making it all up as it goes along?

What I can know is this: During tonight’s State of the Union address, Trump will threaten new authoritarian policies. Republicans will clap like trained seals for those policies, but they won’t use their legislative authority to pass them. Instead, Trump will make unilateral executive declarations, Congress will do nothing, and it will set off another round of lawsuits and appeals.

Eventually, the Supreme Court will tell us if the State of the Union is a “major question” or a pointless exercise.

Support independent journalism that does not fall in line

Even before February 28, the reasons for Donald Trump’s imploding approval rating were abundantly clear: untrammeled corruption and personal enrichment to the tune of billions of dollars during an affordability crisis, a foreign policy guided only by his own derelict sense of morality, and the deployment of a murderous campaign of occupation, detention, and deportation on American streets. 

Now an undeclared, unauthorized, unpopular, and unconstitutional war of aggression against Iran has spread like wildfire through the region and into Europe. A new “forever war”—with an ever-increasing likelihood of American troops on the ground—may very well be upon us.  

As we’ve seen over and over, this administration uses lies, misdirection, and attempts to flood the zone to justify its abuses of power at home and abroad. Just as Trump, Marco Rubio, and Pete Hegseth offer erratic and contradictory rationales for the attacks on Iran, the administration is also spreading the lie that the upcoming midterm elections are under threat from noncitizens on voter rolls. When these lies go unchecked, they become the basis for further authoritarian encroachment and war. 

In these dark times, independent journalism is uniquely able to uncover the falsehoods that threaten our republic—and civilians around the world—and shine a bright light on the truth. 

The Nation’s experienced team of writers, editors, and fact-checkers understands the scale of what we’re up against and the urgency with which we have to act. That’s why we’re publishing critical reporting and analysis of the war on Iran, ICE violence at home, new forms of voter suppression emerging in the courts, and much more. 

But this journalism is possible only with your support.

This March, The Nation needs to raise $50,000 to ensure that we have the resources for reporting and analysis that sets the record straight and empowers people of conscience to organize. Will you donate today?

Elie Mystal

Elie Mystal is The Nation’s justice correspondent and a columnist. He is also an Alfred Knobler Fellow at the Type Media Center. He is the author of two books: the New York Times bestseller Allow Me to Retort: A Black Guy’s Guide to the Constitution and Bad Law: Ten Popular Laws That Are Ruining America, both published by The New Press. You can subscribe to his Nation newsletter “Elie v. U.S.” here.

More from The Nation

Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez articulates her vision of an anti authoritarian

Trump’s War in Iran Opens a Foreign Policy Debate Democrats Can No Longer Avoid Trump’s War in Iran Opens a Foreign Policy Debate Democrats Can No Longer Avoid

The war is forcing Democrats to confront a question they have long deferred: whether the party can offer a coherent anti-war alternative to Washington’s foreign policy consensus.

Blaise Malley

Disastrous Tides of Fortune

Disastrous Tides of Fortune Disastrous Tides of Fortune

The consequences of US actions on other nations.

OppArt / Peter Kuper

Should Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Run for President in 2028?

Should Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Run for President in 2028? Should Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Run for President in 2028?

David Faris argues that the New York representative is the new national leader the Democrats need, but Daraka Larimore-Hall claims she can get more done in Congress.

The Debate / David Faris and Daraka Larimore-Hall

Anti-AIPAC protesters in Farmington Hills, Michigan, on November 10, 2025.

Is AIPAC Doomed? Is AIPAC Doomed?

The hard-line pro-Israel lobby is facing more opposition than ever before. But fully defanging it won’t be easy.

Column / Jeet Heer

New York Police Commissioner Jessica Tisch briefs the press on the attack outside of Gracie Mansion as Mayor Zohran Mamdani looks on.

A Trial by Fire for Tisch and Mamdani, New York’s Premier Odd Couple A Trial by Fire for Tisch and Mamdani, New York’s Premier Odd Couple

How this weekend’s failed attack outside Gracie Mansion could reinforce the strange-bedfellows alliance between the mayor and the police commissioner.

D.D. Guttenplan

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, chief product officer Mike Krieger and head of communications Sasha de Marigny give a press conference on May 22, 2025.

Anthropic’s Lawsuit Should Absolutely Destroy the Pentagon in Court Anthropic’s Lawsuit Should Absolutely Destroy the Pentagon in Court

But make no mistake: The company is not one of the good guys.

Elie Mystal