A Kentucky District That Backed Trump 72-23 Just Backed a Democratic Woman 68-32

A Kentucky District That Backed Trump 72-23 Just Backed a Democratic Woman 68-32

A Kentucky District That Backed Trump 72-23 Just Backed a Democratic Woman 68-32

Democrats have now flipped 37 state legislative seats since Trump assumed the presidency.

Copy Link
Facebook
X (Twitter)
Bluesky
Pocket
Email

Kentucky’s 49th state House district went big for Donald Trump in 2016. While Trump won the state by a 68-32 margin, the Republican presidential nominee gained an even wider 72-23 win in the 49th.

The Trump wave was so overwhelming in the western Kentucky district that Democratic State Representative Linda Belcher lost the seat to Dan Johnson, a conservative Republican pastor with an record of posting racist and anti-Islamic messages on social media. Johnson’s victory helped Republicans take charge of the Kentucky House for the first time in almost half a century, and pundits began talk of how the state had “tipped” to a point where a Democratic comeback was hard to imagine.

Those who wrote off the Democrats in Kentucky will have to rewrite their assessments following a special election that saw Blecher surge back. Called after Johnson committed suicide, following Kentucky media reports that he had sexually abused a teenage girl at the church, Tuesday’s vote produced a Democratic landslide.

Belcher, a retired teacher who campaigned as someone who has “always fought for pay equity, public education, and organized labor,” won with a 68-32 margin.

Let’s do the math, shall we?

Democrat Hillary Clinton won just 23 percent of votes in the district in November of 2016. Democrat Linda Belcher won 68 points in the same district in February of 2018. That’s an 45-point improvement on Clinton’s performance! (And a slightly better than 18-point improvement on Belcher’s performance in 2016, when she was narrowly defeated.)

According to the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, this is “the biggest red to blue flip” since Trump assumed the presidency.

“Flipping a seat that Trump won by such a considerable margin in 2016 shows the sea change happening across America in 2018,” says DLCC executive director Jessica Post. “Voters are speaking up about what they want to see in their elected leaders and volunteering their time and money to change the electoral maps.”

Carolyn Fiddler, a veteran analyst of statehouse races, was blunter. “If Republicans can’t hold onto seats like this in deep red states like Kentucky,” she argued Tuesday evening, “they’re a special kind of screwed in November—at every level of the ballot.”

Support independent journalism that does not fall in line

Even before February 28, the reasons for Donald Trump’s imploding approval rating were abundantly clear: untrammeled corruption and personal enrichment to the tune of billions of dollars during an affordability crisis, a foreign policy guided only by his own derelict sense of morality, and the deployment of a murderous campaign of occupation, detention, and deportation on American streets. 

Now an undeclared, unauthorized, unpopular, and unconstitutional war of aggression against Iran has spread like wildfire through the region and into Europe. A new “forever war”—with an ever-increasing likelihood of American troops on the ground—may very well be upon us.  

As we’ve seen over and over, this administration uses lies, misdirection, and attempts to flood the zone to justify its abuses of power at home and abroad. Just as Trump, Marco Rubio, and Pete Hegseth offer erratic and contradictory rationales for the attacks on Iran, the administration is also spreading the lie that the upcoming midterm elections are under threat from noncitizens on voter rolls. When these lies go unchecked, they become the basis for further authoritarian encroachment and war. 

In these dark times, independent journalism is uniquely able to uncover the falsehoods that threaten our republic—and civilians around the world—and shine a bright light on the truth. 

The Nation’s experienced team of writers, editors, and fact-checkers understands the scale of what we’re up against and the urgency with which we have to act. That’s why we’re publishing critical reporting and analysis of the war on Iran, ICE violence at home, new forms of voter suppression emerging in the courts, and much more. 

But this journalism is possible only with your support.

This March, The Nation needs to raise $50,000 to ensure that we have the resources for reporting and analysis that sets the record straight and empowers people of conscience to organize. Will you donate today?

Ad Policy
x