What does Stephen Bannon really believe? Because he hasnât spoken much in public since becoming, as Time magazine puts it, âthe Second Most Powerful Man in the Worldââheâs the presidentâs influential chief strategist and now a member of the National Security Councilâs principals committeeâanalysts have focused in recent weeks on two main sources as clues to his thinking. The first is a speech he gave via Skype in 2014 to a conference inside the Vatican, where he called on âthe church militantâ to fight against the ânew barbarityâ of âjihadist Islamic fascism,â and praised the Tea Party movement as the leading edge of a âcenter-right revoltâ against crony capitalists and the âparty of Davos.â
âThere is a major war brewing, a war that is already global,â he declared in the speech, the transcript of which was helpfully published by Buzzfeed. âEvery day that we refuse to look at this as what it is, and the scale of it, and really the viciousness of it, will be a day where you will rue that we didnât act.â
A second source of Bannonâs thinking, mined most recently by reporters at USA Today and The New York Times, have been his comments on a daily radio show he ran as part of his Breitbart News empire until taking over the reins of Trumpâs presidential campaign last summer. In these programs, Bannonâs ideas often appear as the premises for questions that he poses to his interviewees. For example, in March 2016, he asked author Lee Edwards, âWeâre going to war in the South China Sea in five to ten years, arenât we?â Talking to his Breitbart colleague Thomas Williams, he made reference to âan expansionist Islam,â âan expansionist China,â and a âJudeo-Christian West on the retreat.â In December 2015, he told anti-immigrant activist Rosemary Jenks that âmost people in the Middle East, at least 50 percent, believe in being Sharia-compliantâ and that for those people âthe United States is the wrong place for you.â
These statements tell us much about what Bannon believes, but to form a complete understanding of his worldviewâif you want to understand why he has such a dark appraisal of the world and where he wants to take the United Statesâturn to his work as a documentary filmmaker. Before he joined Breitbart News as a founding member of its board, Bannon made several documentaries as both producer and chief writer, including In the Face of Evil: Reaganâs War in Word and Deed (2004), Fire from the Heartland: The Awakening of the Conservative Woman and Battle for America (both 2010), The Undefeated (about Sarah Palin, from 2011), and Occupy Unmasked (2012), a piece of agitprop that tried to defame the Occupy movement as a conspiracy spawned by groups as disparate as the Earth Liberation Front and the Black Panther Party.
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As their titles suggest, most of these films are hymns to the Republican idols of Reagan, Palin, and the Tea Party, or attacks on the left. But there is one Bannon production that deserves more attention for what it explains about his underlying worldview: his 2010 movie Generation Zero. In 90 minutes of often lurid images from the last hundred years of world history, interspersed with interviews with a seemingly never-ending array of conservative intellectuals, nearly all of them white men, Bannonâs script offers a coherent and hellishly bleak vision of our past, present, and future, driven by a magical belief in historical determinism.
The films centers on the banking collapse of 2008, pivoting backward and forward in time to offer an explanation for its cause and to dramatize its effects. Bannon opens with the hapless House Financial Services committee member Paul Kanjorski being berated on C-Span by an angry taxpayer and Kanjorski admitting his lack of financial acumen; meanwhile, images of nuclear bombs exploding and planes crashing punctuate the narration. Whom does Bannon blame for the financial collapse? âA toxic combination of big government in bed with Wall Streetâ birthed by the permissive culture of the 1960s. But this permissive culture itself, Bannon posits, was generated by a prior generation that was traumatized by the slaughter of World War II, and thus shielded its children from the harsh realities of the world, producing their lax moral standards and self-centeredness.
To Bannon, and the parade of conservatives he marshals to make his case (Newt Gingrich, Heather MacDonald, Roger Kimball, Michael Novak, and Shelby Steele all get lots of face time), the rebellions of the 1960s were all rooted in the baby-boom generationâs narcissism. Not once do racism or the Vietnam War appear as possible causes for mass movements for social change or human liberation. Instead, the leftârepresented by organizer Saul Alinsky and academics Frances Fox Piven and Richard Clowardâis blamed for manipulating the children of the 1960s into believing that American society was evil and that disruption of the status quo was moral. Only if you ignore the proximate causes of protest, like racism or war, can you make this sort of intellectual leap. But Bannon is just warming up.
One quarter of the way into Generation Zero, the filmmaker unveils the deeper theory that guides his thinking: the notion of generational turnings popularized by authors Neil Howe and William Strauss in their books Generations: The History of Americaâs Future (1991) and The Fourth Turning: An American Prophecy (1997). According to Strauss and Howe, roughly every 80 yearsâa saeculum, or the average life-span of a personâAmerica goes through a cataclysmic crisis. Marked by savagery and genocide, and lasting a decade or more, this crisis ends with a reset of the social order and its survivors all vowing never to let such a catastrophe happen again. Each of these crises, Strauss and Howe posit, have been formative moments in our nationâs history. The Revolution of 1776â83, followed roughly 80 years later by the Civil War, followed 80 years after that by the Great Depression and World War II.
Inside each 80-year saeculum, Howe and Strauss argue, there are four turnings, each a generation long, and each as inevitable as the coming of the seasons. In the first turning, for the generation that survives the prior catastrophe, the newly restored society reaches a collective apex of social order and economic power. Think of America in the post-war boom of 1945 to 1965. Then comes the awakening, as the first new generation of post-catastrophe children enter adulthood and, unlike their traumatized parents, let loose with their emotions and take risks that their forebears would never have imagined. Hello to the long 1960s. Then comes the unraveling, as the once robust order starts to fall apart, people question the eternal verities and institutions weaken. The fourth turning is kicked off and punctuated by ongoing crises, out of which a whole new order is born.
Strauss and Howe are essentially pop historiansâthereâs just enough in their framework to make it seem compelling, but nothing that you can prove or disprove with any assurance.
But that doesnât bother Bannon. Having established this seductive narrative framework, Bannon devotes the rest of Generation Zero to bearing down relentlessly on the decades of the unraveling, which in his mind are the years from 1987 to 2007. As a propagandist, he has two purposes. The first is to make his viewers clearly understand who are the victimizers and who are the victims; the second is to use that framing to help shape the new societal order that will come, as he believes, after the fourth turning plays itself out.
To convince his audience that liberals and hippies are to blame for the financial depredations of the last 20 years, Bannon trots out conservative economists like Amity Shlaes and Arthur Brooks, who have long argued that the New Deal didnât save the American economy but simply entrenched big government and made it an enemy of the hard-working entrepreneurâor, as Shlaes phrases it, anticipating Trump, âthe man who pays, the man who prays, the man who is not thought of, the forgotten man.â The economic crisis of 2008 didnât happen because of the massive deregulatory push of the 1980s and 1990s, Generation Zero suggests; it happened because big government and big business got in bed together, and the establishments of both the Democratic and Republican parties became the âParty of Davos.â
Bannon has a point. Under Presidents Bill Clinton and George W. Bush, there was a Washington consensus in favor of globalization, free trade, deregulation of Wall Street, and the financialization of the economy.
But Bannon, as we know, isnât just an economic populist. He is also a racist, which leads him, in the next part of the âunravelingâ narrative, to blame the housing bubble and the sub-prime loan crisis on the civil-rights movement and efforts to address redlining. Because âwhite Americans have been in a position where they constantly have to prove that they are not racist. It is that phenomenon of white guilt is what pressures people in the government to say things like âeverybody has a right to a house,ââ his narrator opines. Banks supposedly loosened their standards for loans because of the Community Reinvestment Act and ACORN, but âunfortunately capitalism doesnât work that way,â and thus the crash of 2008 was the fault of liberals and blacks.
Bannon ends Generation Zero with both a warning and a hint of hope: âWhen you get into a crisis era, literally anything can happen. The restraints come down. These are the eras of revolution. These are the eras of reigns of terror,â his narrator says. But âthe question of what the new order will be is up to us.â
In a Time magazine article published shortly after Novemberâs election, David Kaiser explains why this is so chilling. Bannon had sought to interview him for Generation Zero because he is one of the few professional historians who have taken Howe and Straussâs work seriously. As he writes, âMy own interpretation of [their work] is that the death of an old political, economic and social order creates an opportunity for any determined movement or leader to put a new vision in place.â The Republican Party, he says, has such a vision, while the Democrats have been more concerned with protecting the achievements of the New Deal.
But Bannon, Kaiser says, had more on his mind than merely rolling back the legacies of Democratic presidents from Barack Obama to Lyndon Johnson and Franklin Roosevelt. He writes:
Bannon had clearly thought a long time both about the domestic potential and the foreign policy implications of Strauss and Howe. More than once during our interview, he pointed out that each of the three preceding crises had involved a great war, and those conflicts had increased in scope from the American Revolution through the Civil War to the Second World War. He expected a new and even bigger war as part of the current crisis, and he did not seem at all fazed by the prospect. I did not agree, and said so. But, knowing that the history of international conflict was my own specialty, he repeatedly pressed me to say we could expect a conflict at least as big as the Second World War in the near or medium term. I refused.
Bannon doesnât just believe that we are in an existential conflict with Islam or with China. It seems he wants to exacerbate those conflicts into a new world war. As a believer in Strauss and Howeâs theory of history, Bannon fantasizes that he can use that cataclysm to forge a completely new order. He is now in a position to make that a reality.
