Politics / July 22, 2025

Working-Class Voters Are Not Centrists

A new report shows there is absolutely a winning constituency for economic and social progress. But Democrats aren’t pursuing it.

Isaac Rabbani
Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) speaks to a full auditorium as part of the “Fighting Oligarchy” tour on April 14, 2025, in Nampa, Idaho. According to event organizers, 12,500 people attended the rally.
Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) speaks to a full auditorium as part of the “Fighting Oligarchy” tour on April 14, 2025, in Nampa, Idaho. According to event organizers, 12,500 people attended the rally.(Natalie Behring / Getty Images)

Nobody seems to feel good about the Democratic Party these days.

With its approval rating at historic lows, panic over the New York mayoral race, and elected officials uncertain about how to move forward, few are optimistic about the direction the Democrats are headed.

There is certainly reason for concern. Catalist, a leading electoral research firm, recently released its breakdown of the 2024 election, and the results do not bode well. The Democrats have made no progress reversing their steady loss of working-class support. Worse yet, this trend is finally catching up with non-white and young voters, who shifted substantially toward Donald Trump in November.

A new report from the Center for Working-Class Politics (CWCP) and Jacobin magazine sheds light on these trends and how they might be reversed. The survey examines over 60 years of polling data in order to comprehensively document the evolving opinions of working-class voters on a variety of political questions. With these findings, we can better understand what workers want and how that conflicts with the party’s more well-off constituencies.

The report finds that, while that schism can’t be ignored, there is absolutely a winning constituency for economic and social progress—but Democrats aren’t pursuing it.

What We Found

While working-class voters are not a monolith, the CWCP survey highlights a range of important commonalities across this group.

Above all, working-class voters are economically progressive. Seventy-five percent favor an increase in the minimum wage, 88 percent are for the government’s reducing prescription drug prices, and 65 percent agree that corporate boards of directors should be required to include workers. Interestingly, 63 percent of these voters also favor import limits to protect jobs in the US. This suggests that, if the GOP can only execute tariffs with careless disregard, then the Democrats may stand to gain from deploying them thoughtfully, perhaps to enforce common labor and environmental standards.

On cultural questions, working-class voters are onboard with the cornerstones of the progressive agenda, though not every item. Roughly 80 percent oppose outlawing abortion, support laws protecting LGBTQ people from discrimination, and wish to strengthen controls on gun purchases. That said, only about half consider themselves “pro-choice” or support an assault weapons ban. Finally, only around 10 percent of working-class voters wish to see the state or federal government spend less on law enforcement.

What about immigration? Though other work has shown that working-class voters (and indeed Americans overall) tend to trust Republicans more on this issue, the full story is more complicated. Roughly 70 percent are against family separations, and don’t believe immigrants will take American jobs. And 61 percent support a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants, a rate that would surely be higher if not for backlash against Biden-era border policy. (Indeed, the backlash may now be going the other way.) The Democratic Party can find the audience for an empathetic immigration policy, but it will have to be willing to fight a serious messaging battle for it.

The Nation Weekly

Fridays. A weekly digest of the best of our coverage.
By signing up, you confirm that you are over the age of 16 and agree to receive occasional promotional offers for programs that support The Nation’s journalism. You may unsubscribe or adjust your preferences at any time. You can read our Privacy Policy here.

Of course, not all of these positions are shared by non-working-class voters, who now make up a sizable share of the Democratic electorate. The latter are more liberal on abortion and immigration, for example. On the other hand, working-class voters have significantly more egalitarian views on issues like industrial policy, Social Security, and Medicare. Given the sizable differences of opinion between the two groups, there may be a real trade-off for Democrats between winning working-class and non-working-class voters.

Yet the report also suggests that such trade-offs are not the whole story. This is because a significant portion of the working class generally agrees with Democratic voters on the issues, but votes for Republicans. Specifically, of working-class voters who voted for Trump in 2020, a whopping 20 percent support a higher minimum wage, increased social welfare spending, increased public school spending, and a tax on millionaires. Of that group, roughly half hold moderate-to-liberal views on cultural issues.

Ten percent of Trump’s working-class voters may not seem like a huge constituency, but in a world where presidential elections are won by one or two percentage points, it is enough to tip the scales several times over. If Democrats can articulate credible support for that kind of platform, these findings suggest that a winning coalition will come together.

Where We Go From Here

Getting working-class voters excited about the Democratic Party once again is a tall order. But recent successes like Zohran Mamdani’s campaign, which attracted record youth turnout, and Bernie Sanders’s Fighting Oligarchy tour, which attracted massive crowds in Trump country, speak to a deep, untapped wellspring of energy. One crucial element these initiatives share is that they meet working Americans where they are, “ahead of public opinion but within arm’s reach,” as one Democratic politician put it.

Generating wider enthusiasm for a national Democratic campaign will take serious message discipline. But what this report shows is that the constituency for a progressive party is out there and waiting to be courted. The alternative is to court further destruction by Republican government.

Disobey authoritarians, support The Nation

Over the past year you’ve read Nation writers like Elie Mystal, Kaveh Akbar, John Nichols, Joan Walsh, Bryce Covert, Dave Zirin, Jeet Heer, Michael T. Klare, Katha Pollitt, Amy Littlefield, Gregg Gonsalves, and Sasha Abramsky take on the Trump family’s corruption, set the record straight about Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s catastrophic Make America Healthy Again movement, survey the fallout and human cost of the DOGE wrecking ball, anticipate the Supreme Court’s dangerous antidemocratic rulings, and amplify successful tactics of resistance on the streets and in Congress.

We publish these stories because when members of our communities are being abducted, household debt is climbing, and AI data centers are causing water and electricity shortages, we have a duty as journalists to do all we can to inform the public.

In 2026, our aim is to do more than ever before—but we need your support to make that happen. 

Through December 31, a generous donor will match all donations up to $75,000. That means that your contribution will be doubled, dollar for dollar. If we hit the full match, we’ll be starting 2026 with $150,000 to invest in the stories that impact real people’s lives—the kinds of stories that billionaire-owned, corporate-backed outlets aren’t covering. 

With your support, our team will publish major stories that the president and his allies won’t want you to read. We’ll cover the emerging military-tech industrial complex and matters of war, peace, and surveillance, as well as the affordability crisis, hunger, housing, healthcare, the environment, attacks on reproductive rights, and much more. At the same time, we’ll imagine alternatives to Trumpian rule and uplift efforts to create a better world, here and now. 

While your gift has twice the impact, I’m asking you to support The Nation with a donation today. You’ll empower the journalists, editors, and fact-checkers best equipped to hold this authoritarian administration to account. 

I hope you won’t miss this moment—donate to The Nation today.

Onward,

Katrina vanden Heuvel 

Editor and publisher, The Nation

Isaac Rabbani

Isaac Rabbani is an economist and a researcher at the Center for Working-Class Politics.

More from The Nation

Trump’s “Warrior Dividend”  Might Be His Scariest Idea Yet

Trump’s “Warrior Dividend” Might Be His Scariest Idea Yet Trump’s “Warrior Dividend” Might Be His Scariest Idea Yet

This week’s “Elie v. US” explores the authoritarian threat beneath Trump’s bonuses for military families. Plus, a case for getting rid of the Second Amendment.

Elie Mystal

How Do We See Hegseth?

How Do We See Hegseth? How Do We See Hegseth?

Surf's up!

Steve Brodner

HUD Is Refusing to Enforce Anti-Discrimination Law—and Won’t Let Anyone Else Do It, Either

HUD Is Refusing to Enforce Anti-Discrimination Law—and Won’t Let Anyone Else Do It, Either HUD Is Refusing to Enforce Anti-Discrimination Law—and Won’t Let Anyone Else Do It, Either

The initial chaos of layoffs has been followed by a concerted effort by the Trump administration to halt the enforcement of the Fair Housing Act.

Bryce Covert

Unleashing AI

Unleashing AI Unleashing AI

Ignoring the dangers, tech companies race forward.

OppArt / Peter Kuper

Representative Ilhan Omar (D-MN) walks toward the Capitol on December 10, 2025.

Why Ilhan Omar Makes the Right Lose Its Mind Why Ilhan Omar Makes the Right Lose Its Mind

Trump and his MAGA allies want people like Omar to vanish from this country—and they hate her for refusing to do so.

Isi Baehr-Breen

Brad Lander on What It Takes to Win as a Progressive

Brad Lander on What It Takes to Win as a Progressive Brad Lander on What It Takes to Win as a Progressive

The outgoing New York City comptroller discusses governing on the left, his run for Congress, and why housing and affordability should define the next Democratic fight.

Q&A / Bhaskar Sunkara