Report: Media Favored Horserace Over Issues in Presidential Primary

Report: Media Favored Horserace Over Issues in Presidential Primary

Report: Media Favored Horserace Over Issues in Presidential Primary

How did the media cover the 2012 primary campaign?

Copy Link
Facebook
X (Twitter)
Bluesky
Pocket
Email

For all the griping about media bias in politics, good data is in short supply. Every four years, however, the nonpartisan Pew Research Center releases exhaustive, quantitative reports on how the press covers the presidential campaign. Their new report, out Monday, shows that the largest bias this year did not favor an ideology or candidate—though Santorum never got much love—but favored the coverage of the horserace and personal issues over public policy.

The press covered the horserace seven times more than domestic issues in the GOP primary. That made it the most covered topic by far, as Pew reports in this chart:

While it’s hard to see what voters are supposed to base their decisions on if most coverage is about tactics, not the actual issues in the race, Pew notes that 2012 was actually better on this score than last cycle. Then, strategy made up a whopping 80 percent of press coverage about the GOP field, and 78 percent for the Democrats. That may have been because the 2008 race had even more drama between the candidates.

As for the overall tone of candidate coverage, Pew found that Romney received primarily positive press once he established himself as a likely nominee (after the Michigan primary), which reflects the emphasis on the horse race. (Leading candidates get better coverage, regardless of their views, when the race is covered primarily as a game.) The exception was Santorum, who got mostly negative coverage even as he was the second most successful competitor.

“The former Pennsylvania senator was never able to sustain substantially positive coverage for more than two weeks,” explains the report, “and often not more than one.” Santorum did get a boost in overall coverage during his victories, and he drew the majority of coverage as a lead newsmaker through much of February and March.

There was one candidate who drew even more negative coverage than Santorum. It was not Newt Gingrich, who frequently complained about a raw deal from the press. It was not Ron Paul, whose loyal constituency was often underplayed, especially on the influential Fox News channel. No, according to the data, it was that other guy. “Of all the presidential candidates studied in this report, only one figure did not have a single week in 2012 when positive coverage exceeded negative coverage—the incumbent, Democrat Barack Obama,” reports Pew.  Here’s the chart over time:

No one talks about an “anti-incumbent” bias. But actually being in charge tends to invite plenty of criticism.

Support The Nation’s June Fundraising Campaign

With the midterm elections now firmly upon us, the question is whether Democratic candidates will do more than merely occupy ballot lines as mild alternatives to the red-hot crisis that is Donald Trump.

As Trump spends over $1 billion a day on a globally destabilizing war on Iran and admits that he doesn’t “think about Americans’ financial situation,” millions across the country are struggling with the surging costs of essentials. Democrats must seize this moment and advance bold, small-“d” populist ideas—not settle for cynical caution that once again snatches defeat from the jaws of victory.

The Nation elevates progressive ideas, movements, and elected officials achieving real change across the country into the national conversation. At the same time, our journalists are exposing how crypto and AI-funded super PACs are spending hundreds of millions of dollars to knock out candidates they oppose, reporting on the devastating impact of the Supreme Court’s evisceration of the Voting Rights Act, and sounding the alarm on attempts by red states to quickly redraw electoral maps, disenfranchising Southern Black voters.

We can play this critical role because of support from readers like you. This June, we’re raising $20,000 to power The Nation’s independent journalism in the run-up to November’s immensely consequential elections.

It’s in our power to build a more just society, and your support at this critical moment brings us closer to that bold vision. I hope you’ll donate today.

Onward,

Katrina vanden Huevel
Editor and Publisher, The Nation

Ad Policy
x