Podcast / See How They Run / Nov 2, 2024

What the Polls Can (and Can’t) Tell Us

On this episode of See How They Run, Ettingermentum’s Josh Cohen on how political junkies can get through the next few days.

Voters fill out their ballot at a polling station, on October 29, 2024, in Grand Rapids, Michigan.

(Joshua Lott / The Washington Post via Getty Images)

Well, folks, this is it. After one brat summer, two assassination attempts, three debates, and about 4 million opinion polls, one of the most tumultuous, surreal, polarizing campaigns in living memory has reached the finish line. By this time next week, we will—hopefully—know whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump is headed to the White House, what kind of Congress they will be working with, and what exactly the people of this big, turbulent, exhausted country have to say for themselves.

Over the past few months, we’ve looked at the 2024 election from just about every angle. Now, for our final preelection episode, we’re zooming out to give you as clear a picture of the current landscape as we can—where things stand, which races you need to be following, and what surprises to look out for on Election Night. And there’s nobody more equipped to discuss that than Josh Cohen, the author of the Ettingermentum newsletter and everyone’s favorite lefty poll-watcher.

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With the midterm elections now firmly upon us, the question is whether Democratic candidates will do more than merely occupy ballot lines as mild alternatives to the red-hot crisis that is Donald Trump.

As Trump spends over $1 billion a day on a globally destabilizing war on Iran and admits that he doesn’t “think about Americans’ financial situation,” millions across the country are struggling with the surging costs of essentials. Democrats must seize this moment and advance bold, small-“d” populist ideas—not settle for cynical caution that once again snatches defeat from the jaws of victory.

The Nation elevates progressive ideas, movements, and elected officials achieving real change across the country into the national conversation. At the same time, our journalists are exposing how crypto and AI-funded super PACs are spending hundreds of millions of dollars to knock out candidates they oppose, reporting on the devastating impact of the Supreme Court’s evisceration of the Voting Rights Act, and sounding the alarm on attempts by red states to quickly redraw electoral maps, disenfranchising Southern Black voters.

We can play this critical role because of support from readers like you. This June, we’re raising $20,000 to power The Nation’s independent journalism in the run-up to November’s immensely consequential elections.

It’s in our power to build a more just society, and your support at this critical moment brings us closer to that bold vision. I hope you’ll donate today.

Onward,

Katrina vanden Huevel
Editor and Publisher, The Nation

D.D. Guttenplan

D.D. Guttenplan is a special correspondent for The Nation and the former host of The Nation Podcast. He served as editor of the magazine from 2019 to 2025 and, prior to that, as an editor at large and London correspondent. His books include American Radical: The Life and Times of I.F. Stone, The Nation: A Biography, and The Next Republic: The Rise of a New Radical Majority.

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