Claims that coercive mental health care is a necessary evil are not supported by evidence.
AOT allows a judge to order a person to adhere to a treatment plan while living outside of a hospital setting.(Spencer Platt / Getty)
New York state enacted Kendra’s Law in 1999, in the shadow of a tragedy. The law is named for Kendra Webdale, who was pushed in front of a subway train by a man with untreated psychosis. It created the nation’s most expansive systems for Assisted Outpatient Treatment, or AOT: civil court orders requiring people with mental illness to comply with community-based treatment.
A quarter-century later, AOT is embedded in the state’s mental health system, and New York City is its main engine, accounting for over 60 percent of AOT petitions granted statewide. As Mayor Zohran Mamdani looks to establish a new Department of Community Safety and to reform the city’s mental health and homelessness policies, he will have to choose whether to continue AOT and associated forced treatment programs at their current scale. As he deliberates, he will face a lot of impassioned defenses of these programs. AOT in particular is often singled out as a humane alternative to forced commitment. Many parents of individuals living with mental illness as well as police lobbies and advocates within the psychiatric and pharmaceutical industries consider court-ordered treatment an indispensable tool for public safety, improving health outcomes, and saving lives.
These claims, although they may be emotionally compelling, are not supported by the evidence. The most rigorous experimental data makes clear that perpetuating—let alone expanding—AOT is scientifically, fiscally, and ethically indefensible, ultimately deflecting attention and funding away from what New York City must actually do to support its most vulnerable residents.
AOT allows a judge to order a person to adhere to a treatment plan while living outside of a hospital setting. Orders typically last 90 to 180 days but can be renewed repeatedly. Programs vary, but AOT usually involves mandated medication—typically long-acting injectable antipsychotics that are infamous for their serious side effects and which, while life-saving and enabling for some, are ineffective for a large proportion of people living with bipolar disorder or psychotic experiences. AOT also includes required outpatient appointments and ongoing monitoring. Noncompliance can lead to seizure by police, involuntary transport for psychiatric evaluation and, potentially, hospitalization and resumption of forced medication, often regardless of whether such treatment has been effective for a given patient.
Today, 48 states and the District of Columbia authorize some form of AOT. In every instance, the authorization and defense of AOT rests on the idea that the court order itself produces better outcomes—fewer hospitalizations and homeless nights, less incarceration, reduced violence—than the same services offered voluntarily.
Yet among the three randomized controlled trials that have examined the practice, none found statistically significant improvements in primary clinical outcomes for people under court order compared with controls receiving services without a mandate. A major meta-analysis pooling these trials found no significant effect on hospitalization, symptoms, arrests, or quality of life, and calculated that 142 people would need to be subjected to court orders to avert a single hospitalization.
When AOT “works” in observational studies, it is usually because something else changed: services, housing access, or provider follow-through.
The studies cited by AOT advocates typically compare people’s outcomes before AOT enrollment and after. These studies often show improvement, but their findings do not answer the real question: Does the court order produce better outcomes than the same services delivered voluntarily?
People are usually enrolled in AOT at their worst point after repeated crises. Statistical improvement from that low point is expected even without coercive interventions. The studies also fail to account for the fact that AOT enrollment brings priority access to intensive services: assertive community treatment, intensive case management, disability benefits advocacy, and supportive housing. If hospitalizations or arrests drop after someone starts receiving those services, attributing the change to the legal mandate rather than the services is misguided.
Even the federal government’s own attempt to validate its national AOT grant program has not delivered a clean endorsement. A Government Accountability Office review concluded that federal assessments of AOT effectiveness were “inconclusive,” citing methodological limitations and uncertainty in the reported results.
And while the proof that AOT helps is scant, evidence that it can harm is abundant.
Even before February 28, the reasons for Donald Trump’s imploding approval rating were abundantly clear: untrammeled corruption and personal enrichment to the tune of billions of dollars during an affordability crisis, a foreign policy guided only by his own derelict sense of morality, and the deployment of a murderous campaign of occupation, detention, and deportation on American streets.
Now an undeclared, unauthorized, unpopular, and unconstitutional war of aggression against Iran has spread like wildfire through the region and into Europe. A new “forever war”—with an ever-increasing likelihood of American troops on the ground—may very well be upon us.
As we’ve seen over and over, this administration uses lies, misdirection, and attempts to flood the zone to justify its abuses of power at home and abroad. Just as Trump, Marco Rubio, and Pete Hegseth offer erratic and contradictory rationales for the attacks on Iran, the administration is also spreading the lie that the upcoming midterm elections are under threat from noncitizens on voter rolls. When these lies go unchecked, they become the basis for further authoritarian encroachment and war.
In these dark times, independent journalism is uniquely able to uncover the falsehoods that threaten our republic—and civilians around the world—and shine a bright light on the truth.
The Nation’s experienced team of writers, editors, and fact-checkers understands the scale of what we’re up against and the urgency with which we have to act. That’s why we’re publishing critical reporting and analysis of the war on Iran, ICE violence at home, new forms of voter suppression emerging in the courts, and much more.
But this journalism is possible only with your support.
This March, The Nation needs to raise $50,000 to ensure that we have the resources for reporting and analysis that sets the record straight and empowers people of conscience to organize. Will you donate today?
After 25 years, no study has demonstrated that involuntary court-ordered outpatient treatment adds value beyond the enhanced social services that accompany it.
For example, one randomized controlled trial conducted by Duke University researchers found that court-ordered outpatient treatment increased perceived coercion substantially compared with identical services delivered without a court order. Study participants under court orders reported 45 percent higher perceived coercion than those receiving identical services voluntarily. Black participants were nearly twice as likely as white participants to report high levels of coercion, even after controlling for diagnosis and other variables. Legal scholars and advocates have raised due-process concerns with broad, vague forced-removal standards and the heavy role of police in enforcing AOT.
These experiences of coercion are not only ethically troubling but also impose considerable clinical harm. Mandated long-term antipsychotic use can cause metabolic syndrome and diabetes that, in turn, cause cardiovascular disease and early death. Antipsychotics can can also cause severe movement disorders that substantially increase rates of suicide. Supervised residential placements may restrict autonomy over finances, food, and social life. Court involvement can disrupt family bonds and caregiving arrangements. These chronic experiences of subordination—what some researchers call “social defeat”—are themselves implicated in the development and worsening of psychosis.
Many such harms are poorly measured because they are hard to quantify: the psychic consequences of being governed as a non-equal citizen; the chilling effects on help-seeking and ability to trust others; medication side effects experienced under conditions of constrained choice; and the long-term social effects of being managed through surveillance and threat rather than genuine care and support.
This especially matters right now as Mayor Mamdani makes pivotal decisions about how he will address mental health, homelessness, and community safety in the wake of an outgoing administration that made psychiatric coercion a centerpiece of governance.
Former Mayor Eric Adams’s approach to homelessness and severe mental illness was framed through a law-enforcement lens: expanding the city’s police powers to remove people from public spaces, widening pathways into involuntary hospitalization, and framing psychiatric coercion as a necessary and enlightened form of compassion. The architect and public face of this agenda was Adams’s senior adviser on mental illness, Brian Stettin, who described the administration’s push as bringing people to hospitals “with or without their consent” and pursuing broader criteria for longer-term involuntary hospitalization. Stettin is a longtime advocate of coercive mental health policy and AOT, and built his career through association with the psychiatrist E. Fuller Torrey’s Treatment Advocacy Center, an organization that has aggressively promoted tougher involuntary treatment laws nationwide. He was involved in drafting Kendra’s Law.
Under Stettin’s direction, New Yorkers have been offered a simple bargain: Accept a larger machinery of coercion and police power and you will get better public safety, better health outcomes, and fewer people suffering in plain sight. This bargain has been politically powerful—and empirically vacuous.
A second story line, echoed in public commentary around the Adams approach, is that coercive hospitalization or AOT is what finally gets people connected to housing and services.
But this confuses leverage with care. When the system withholds housing, benefits navigation, intensive case management, and follow-up until the moment a person is taken in custody, stabilized, and made administratively manageable, it will always look as if coercion “worked.” What actually worked was housing and sustained services from community care workers—the very things the city could fund and offer proactively to people in need, without making liberty contingent on compliance.
Get unlimited access: $9.50 for six months.
If New York wants fewer people cycling between streets, subways, emergency rooms, and jails, the most evidence-based path is not the courtroom. It is building and guaranteeing the voluntary care infrastructure that actually changes trajectories: stable housing, intensive mobile support enabled by a publicly employed corps of community care workers, and continuity of care that does not collapse the moment someone misses an appointment.
Mayor Mamdani was elected on his promises of change, and he now has an opportunity to make good on those promises. Instead of doubling down on policing logics, he could invest in scaling voluntary assertive community treatment, expanding supportive housing, strengthening peer-led engagement by building a robust community care-worker corps, and ensuring follow-up without police involvement.
Alarmingly, so far, the Mamdani administration has instead signaled continuity with elements of the entrenched approach he promised to reject, first by backtracking on campaign promises to end homeless encampment sweeps and then by appointing Erin Dalton as director of social services. Dalton arrives from Allegheny County, where she pushed for expansive use of AOT and psychiatric policing, making Allegheny County the first in Pennsylvania to opt in to AOT over the objections of many local stakeholders and statewide civil rights and disability justice groups. She also led expanded use of homeless encampment sweeps by police, defunding of supportive housing, and a predictive algorithm that flagged poor families—disproportionately families of color and those living with disabilities—for preemptive child-abuse investigations.
These strategies do not reduce homelessness at scale or build durable voluntary care infrastructure; instead, they entrench cycles in which access to housing and services is mediated by police contact and the threat of court orders. This echoes the model advanced in California under Gavin Newsom, who has coupled expansion of social-service bureaucracy with intensified street-level police enforcement, consuming enormous public budgets without resolving chronic homelessness or improving mental health.
People should not be denied freedom, dignity, or rights simply because their distress appears frightening, inconvenient, or socially unintelligible. For decades, AOT has been sold as a tragic necessity—one that dictates we must deny autonomy and suppress differences in order to protect health and safety. The best available scientific evidence undercuts that claim. New York does not need a system of coerced outpatient “treatment” to fund housing, services, and care. What it needs is the political will to provide those goods without making them conditional on compliance with psychiatric mandates, and without converting care into a branch of policing.
Mental health policy is not just a technocratic nor scientific matter. It begins from a fundamental ethical and political question: What kind of society do we want to make—one that prioritizes care, freedom, and universal rights to difference, or one that insists upon control and homogeneity? If policymakers support the continued use of forced psychiatric treatment and expansion of police powers over people living with mental illness despite the absence of evidence that it improves health or safety, it should be very clear where they stand.
Nev JonesNev Jones is an associate professor at the University of Pittsburgh School of Social Work, where she directs PathLab, featuring a majority of lab members with direct experience of psychiatric disability and public behavioral health systems.
Eric ReinhartTwitterEric Reinhart is a political anthropologist, social psychiatrist, and psychoanalytic clinician.