March 5, 2008
First, let me just say that I told you McCain would win. And Mike Huckabee conceded with a lovely speech about a pitcher that is always waiting and ready in the event the other pitcher can’t make it. Media folks are speculating if this is Huck making a comment about being VP? I think that this was actually a comment about Mike Huckabee’s new career in baseball.
Last night’s primary and caucuses brought another opportunity for us to measure the successes of the youth vote. All of the following are for 17-29 year olds and can be found by combing through the CNN Exit polls.
Turnout was 25% that is up from 15% in 2000 (says CIRCLE)
16% of the overall youth vote for Democrats
The only age group to give Obama a margin of victory in Ohio
13% of overall vote for Republicans
277,045 young Democrats compared to 11,600 Young Republicans (that’s over 479,000 compared to 259,960 in 2000)
13% of the overall youth vote for Democrats
The only age group to give Obama a margin of victory in Rhode Island
23,541 young Democrats voted – CNN does not have exit polling for young Republicans
11% of the overall vote for Democrats
Obama got 64% and Clinton got 31%
14,364 young Democrats voted
Texas (not including the caucus):
Turnout went up to 17% (thats up 11% from 2000) (says CIRCLE
16% of the overall vote for Democrats
58% for Obama and 42% for Clinton
13% of Republican voters were young (split between Huck and McCain 43/44)
449,172 young Democrats vs. 171,211 young Republicans (over 620,000 total which is up from 172,228 in 2000)
As for the caucus in Texas young people were certainly prevalent. Because CNN doesn’t do exit or entrance polls for the Texas Caucus, we can only rely on first-hand accounts.
A good Texas friend said that there were huge lines standing outside her caucus site for almost three hours before the doors opened. They had over 500 people–almost 380 for Obama and 83 for Clinton.