As I noted yesterday in Day One of this series, after months of promotion HBO’s film on Sarah Palin and the 2008 campaign, Game Change, will air (finally) this weekend. Conservatives (including Palin, who has not seen the movie) claim that the film is completely unfair and mainly fiction, plus a valentine to Obama from Democratic Hollywood. But the filmmakers say it’s (sadly) all fact, except that Julianne Moore plays Palin even better than Palin played Palin.
The only thing surprising to me is that anyone at this late date would be surprised by any embarrassing facts about Palin. The truth has been known almost within hours of McCain lifting her out of obscurity back at the end of August 2008. There even persists in some quarters (including elements of mainstream media) the fantasy that Palin actually boosted McCain and drew support from women voters, when the facts (and the polls) always ran in the opposite direction.
Rather than in retrospect, I documented all this in real time in my daily pieces for Editor & Publisher, which were collected in my 2009 book and e-book Why Obama Won. This week I will be excerpting parts of that book here, leading up to the HBO film airing, to show how much was known about Palin immediately—not weeks, months or years later—and how many in the media distorted this for far too long. Yes, we will be getting to David Brooks.
September 1, 2008
3 New Polls: Palin Pick Not Fooling Women
A new CNN/Opinion Research poll released today shows that he contest between Barack Obama and John McCain—after the twin “bounces” of the past few days—remains essentially tied, with Obama leading at 49% to 48%. But what’s most intriguing are the results regarding McCain’s choice for veep, who was expected to draw more women to the GOP ticket.
In fact, men seem to be more impressed with this move than women. Just now, this seems to be confirmed by a CBS poll, showing Obama with a 48 percent to 40 percent lead overall—but with a wide lead among women, at 50 percent to 36 percent which has only widened. Only 13 percent of women said they might be more likely to vote for McCain because of Palin, with 11 percent they are now less likely. CBS also reports: “Before the Democratic convention, McCain enjoyed a twelve-point advantage with independent voters, but now Obama leads among this group 43 percent to 37 percent…. The poll shows an increase in the number of Obama voters who are enthusiastic about him.”