The Nation.


How much longer will the Democratic nomination fight last?

  • Until May 6. Obama wins delegate-rich Indiana and North Carolina leaving Clinton with little money or momentum.
    30%  (1239) 30%
  • Until June 3, the last primary. Undecided superdelegates will by then coalesce around one candidate.
    37%  (1522) 37%
  • All the way to the August 25-28 Denver convention. It won't be pretty--and the outcome is still anybody's guess.
    32%  (1301) 32%
  1. How much longer?

    Too much longer.

    Posted by sloper at 04/22/2008

  2. It should be over on May 6th, but Hillary doesn't know when to quit and is not thinking of what is best for the party at all. She will take it all the way to the convention just to weaken Obama with the hope that he will lose to McCain so she can get another shot in '12.

    Narcissistic, self-absorbed, megalomaniac, are the words that best describe Hillary's continued efforts to drag out this contest beyond what is politically ideal. But these are also the words that voters are using to reject Clinton at the polls, and the sad part is she doesn't even understand that this is the reason she is being rejected.

    Posted by Metteyya at 04/22/2008

  3. My guess is she will stay in until June 3 no matter what. Then, as is inevitable, Obama will still be ahead and the superdels will coalesce around him.

    Having said that, there is always the chance that even under that senario, she will go all in - risking her potential future as the top ranking Democratic Senator - and challenge all the way to the convention.

    Posted by jdnfyb at 04/22/2008

  4. She will definitely stay until June 3rd, though if she doesn't win big in PA, funds will be ever-decreasing for her, and she may not be able to string it out that long. However, after reading blog after blog of PA women saying they want a woman in the White House, I think she'll do fairly well in PA. Sadly, I have to agree with the blogger who called her a narcissistic megalomaniac. Would these PA women choose Ann Coulter just because she's a woman? You have to look at the content of the character as well, which doesn't seem to be happening. Never let the stupidity of the American people surprise you when it comes to choosing the best candidate for President.

    Posted by Wahrheit at 04/22/2008

  5. I think Obama wins North Carolina and the numbers become SO obvious that Dean tells the Supers..."Vote NOW!" and they pick Obama because he'll have what he has had since before Texas and Ohio...

    1. most popular votes

    2. most pledged delegates

    3. most states won

    And JUST BEFORE the Supers vote and totally embarass Hillary....she "graciously but sadly" quits the race and tells her supporters to support Obama.

    (and then starts her sabotage campaign, so that she can still run in 2012 against an incumbent McCain!)

    Posted by Mask at 04/22/2008

  6. Voters in PA are delusional: they say overwhelmingly Obama will bring about needed change and these very same individuals say Clinton has necessary experience; if everybody agrees she will not bring about needed change, then what is the point of experience??? Bush had experience, the changes he brought are increasingly unpleasant for us and the rest of the world....expect more of the same from clinton or mccain...as Obama has said, "an important distinction between the two will be how this change would come about" clintons' change would be vetoing everything like bush, leading to intransigence and no positive changes....it might be great for dems to feel like they have some balls for a change, but it will be meaningless...clinton has already destroyed a united party..she is working on handing the keys to mccain...and her "core" old white "middle ground" demographic or pseudo-conservative is basically destroying the Democratic party....her cause is useless, give money to her so she can at least pay her staff, she is so far in the hole...nobody in Washington likes her now, despite her "experience"...WAKE UP!!!

    Posted by jrs112 at 04/22/2008

  7. True to form for "wymin" of her mindset, count on Hitlery to be self-centered enough to take the fight all the way to the convention and leave only a shell of the Democratic Party in her wake should she not prevail. A walkout on the order of 1948 would not surprize me. But what entertains most is that a personal disaster of her dimensions, after having spent three decades utterly convinced that she had some particularly special grasp of what the world needed, could accuse anyone else of elitism, not that her opponent made it terribly hard for her not to do so. Given the likely outcome that one of the three stooges currently on stage will serve as the next president, consider it blessed relief that Nadar and, apparently, Barr are in the mix. Nadar, with his trenchant commentary, comes off an adult compared to these adolescents. His internal polls report support at 10% at the moment and who is surprized? Barr, still in exploratory status, reports his support at 7%. Can we hope that these two do sufficient damage to the status quo to mean something this time?

    Posted by john lowell at 04/23/2008

  8. Well, for one this 73 year old white [Maine/Boston] male with post-graduate degrees... who lost with McCarthy, Dukakis, Kerry... and... will sit it out and NEVER vote for, as McCain so aptly affirmed "The Bitch". QED

    Posted by megacephalus at 04/23/2008

  9. One of the "problems" with the Democratic Party is that in reality it is several "parties' which usually can work together. The current primary season (campaign war) demonstrates that at least two of these 'parties" have sufficient resources and will to attempt to force it views on the confederation of interest known as the Democratic Party. What does not seem to be recognized by most pundits and Hillary's and Obama's campaigns is that there are real democrats who are not energized by Obama or Hillary. The "battle between Hillary and Obama is not between two halves of the party but one between two thirds of the party, another third is setting this out. The "race" between Obama and Hillary has come to one based on personality, money, gender, and ethnicity. What ever happened to the party with clear ideas for the nation's common good? My hope is that the super-delegates will refuse to put either over the top.

    Posted by Cratylus at 04/23/2008

  10. Hmm, this straw poll is as close as the delegate count. Hearing the results upon rising on Wednesday morning, I felt a moment of despair. The Dums are continuing to eat each other alive clearing the path for a Republican victory in November. The thought that maybe I wouldn't even vote flickered briefly. No, dammit, I'll vote for the Dummos candidate no matter who it is. Look what happened in 2000 when the message was 'there's no difference between these two candidates'! Well, maybe there was; maybe there was.

    Posted by Moderatus at 04/23/2008

  11. convention when the Clintons pull out the last of their daggers and send Obama home.

    Posted by lvliberty1 at 04/24/2008

Past Polls

  1. 7/ 2/2008 Who would you invite to your July 4 picnic?
  2. 6/26/2008 How can Hillary Clinton best help Barack Obama achieve victory this fall?
  3. 6/23/2008 In light of Don Imus's latest offensive racial remark, what should the fallout be?
  4. 6/18/2008 What tactic should Obama embrace to win the White House?
  5. 6/16/2008 Who would you like to see become the next host of Meet the Press?
  6. 6/ 9/2008 What would you like to see Hillary Clinton do next?
  7. 6/ 2/2008 Which 2004 red state has the most potential to turn blue in 2008?
  8. 5/19/2008 Which GOP senator is most likely to lose his re-election bid in November?
  9. 3/25/2008 What's ahead for the US economy?
  10. 3/19/2008 What aspects of the New Deal best address our current political and economic challenges?
  11. 3/16/2008 What's the single most important step the government can take to address the crumbling economy?
  12. 3/11/2008 Which recent sex scandal revealed the most about politicians as we know them?
  13. 3/ 5/2008 After Texas and Ohio, what's the best course for the Democratic presidential process?
  14. 2/19/2008 How should the dispute over the Michigan and Florida primaries be settled?
  15. 2/11/2008 Who's John McCain's scariest running-mate?
  16. 2/ 5/2008 What's the best outcome as Clinton and Obama battle for delegates?
  17. 2/ 4/2008 What's next for Citizen Kang?
  18. 1/28/2008 What's Next for Citizen Kang?
  19. 1/28/2008 How Can Hillary Clinton solve her Bill problem?
  20. 1/22/2008 What next for Citizen Kang?
  21. 1/22/2008 Is Rudy Giuliani finally finished?
  22. 1/16/2008 Is John Edwards finished?
  23. 1/ 8/2008 Which GOP presidential contender poses the greatest threat?
  24. 1/ 3/2008 What's Next for Citizen Kang?
  25. 1/ 3/2008 What's Barack Obama's greatest challenge in the next primaries?
  26. 1/ 1/2008 Who will make the strongest showing in the Iowa Democratic caucuses?
  27. 12/17/2007 Who was the most valuable progressive in 2007?
  28. 12/12/2007 What was the most significant news event of 2007?
  29. 12/ 3/2007 What progressive group has made a real difference in 2007?
  30. 11/26/2007 Will anything useful come of the Mideast Peace Talks in Annapolis?
  31. 11/16/2007 As things stand today, who is best positioned to be the GOP presidential nominee?
  32. 11/16/2007 What political event are you most thankful for?
  33. 11/ 7/2007 If the Democratic presidential primary were held today in your state, who would get your vote?
  34. 11/ 1/2007 If Hillary Clinton becomes the Democratic presidential nominee, who's her most likely running-mate?
  35. 10/22/2007 What is the most destabilizing force in Pakistan today?
  36. 10/10/2007 Who should win this year's Nobel Peace Prize?
  37. 10/ 2/2007 What will it take to keep the Bush Administration from attacking Iran?
  38. 9/20/2007 Iraq banned Blackwater USA for violence against civilians. What now?
  39. 9/13/2007 Which Democratic presidential candidate has the best plan for getting out of Iraq?
  40. 9/ 6/2007 As the Bush Administration presses to extend the surge, what will Democrats in Congress do?
  41. 8/27/2007 What was Alberto Gonzales's biggest mistake?
  42. 8/16/2007 Should Cindy Sheehan be challenging Nancy Pelosi in 2008?
  43. 8/ 1/2007 Now that Rupert Murdoch has sealed the deal to buy the Wall Street Journal, what does it mean to you?
  44. 7/26/2007 What impact will the CNN/YouTube Debate have on Campaign 08?
  45. 7/17/2007 Imagine US troops leave Iraq in July 2008. What will Iraq look like in July 2009?
  46. 7/ 4/2007 Al Gore's Live Earth concerts are:
  47. 7/ 3/2007 Who would you invite to your July 4 picnic?
  48. 6/21/2007 Mike Bloomberg is poised to make an independent run for president. Should he do it?
  49. 6/13/2007 Have feminists soured on Hillary?
  50. 5/31/2007 What happens if Israel succeeds in walling off the Occupied Territories?
  51. 5/17/2007 What Is Bush's Dumbest Utterance?
  52. 5/ 3/2007 Who most deserves to be impeached?
  53. 4/24/2007 What's the most immediate action Congress should take to address global warming?
  54. 4/13/2007 Don Imus is finally out of a job at MSNBC and CBS. Who's the biggest loser?
  55. 3/27/2007 How likely is it that US troops will exit Iraq by 2008?
  56. 3/ 6/2007 The Scooter Libby trial is over. Was justice served?
  57. 2/27/2007 What's Hillary Clinton's greatest weakness as a presidential candidate?
  58. 2/20/2007 If they gave an Oscar for the year's best progressive film, the winner would be...
  59. 2/16/2007 Who's the most likely GOP presidential contender?
  60. 2/ 7/2007 Who is the Worst US President Ever?
  61. 1/31/2007 What's the most likely consequence of the Iraq War?
  62. 0/ 0/ 0 What was the most significant news event of 2007?

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