Turkey, a NATO member with a religious-Sunni, right-wing political base, is setting a dangerous trap for President Obama.
The United States cannot let itself be drawn into war with Syria by virtue of its formal alliance with Turkey, through NATO. Already, Turkey has been shelling Syria. For more than a year, Turkey’s Prime Minister Erdogan has been itching for a fight with Syria, and now—following a minor incident involving a single mortar shell that crossed the Syrian-Turkish border—he may get one.
If he does, the United States has to stay out of it.
The title of Mitt Romney’s op-ed in The Wall Street Journal today is “A New Course for the Middle East.” Now, that’s scary.
What Romney does in the piece isn’t complicated: the television images of angry crowds across the Muslim world chanting anti-American slogans, punctuated by the killing of the US ambassador to Libya, have rekindled fears among many voters that the world, once again, is going to hell, and that mustachioed and bearded Islamists are taking us there. Just like 1979. Never mind that nothing like that is happening at all. Romney, quick to inflame Americans’ fears rather than speak with reason, quick to incite the worst American instincts and quick to use racism and Islamophobia to stoke potential voters’ xenophobia, doesn’t care. Boo! he says. Or, as in the Journal op-ed:
Disturbing developments are sweeping across the greater Middle East. In Syria, tens of thousands of innocent people have been slaughtered. In Egypt, the Muslim Brotherhood has come to power, and the country’s peace treaty with Israel hangs in the balance. In Libya, our ambassador was murdered in a terrorist attack. U.S. embassies throughout the region have been stormed in violent protests. And in Iran, the ayatollahs continue to move full tilt toward nuclear-weapons capability, all the while promising to annihilate Israel.
Looking like a slightly deranged grandfather obsessed with something only he can see—perhaps an older, male version of the off-kilter character played by Claire Danes on Showtime’s Homeland—Benjamin Netanyahu fussed and scribbled over a cartoon bomb at the podium of the United Nations yesterday. With any luck, the bombastic, extremist, too-far-right-for-even-Likud Israeli prime minister has done himself in.
You can read Netanyahu’s entire rant, if you like.
Of course, Netanyahu has looked like a bizarre version of Paul Revere for years now. (As he himself said yesterday at the UN: “I’ve been speaking about the need to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons for over fifteen years.”) No one, or almost no one, believes that Iran is a vast nuclear threat and that the United States (or Israel) has to bomb it in weeks or months or, as Netanyahu suggests, at the latest next summer. Not the Obama administration, which is treating Netanyahu as if it wishes it could haul out a straitjacket and a syringe. Not the Israel national security establishment, which is almost universally opposed to a strike on Iran. Not the Iran Project—which represents a cross section of the American national security establishment and has laid out, in detail, why there’s no need to go to war against Iran.
Aside from stirring but hollow rhetoric about democracy and peoples’s “freedom to determine their destiny,” President Obama’s speech to the United Nations fell flat. It failed to outline a single significant initiative. He presented no vision of what he intends in foreign affairs. He didn’t mention China (or Asia for that matter, where the United States is engaging in a vast military expansion). Amazingly, he didn’t mention Russia at all, even to seek its explicit cooperation in resolving the wars and crises in Syria, Iran and Afghanistan.
And then, as the following passages reveal, he told some whoppers:
We were inspired by the Tunisian protests that toppled a dictator because we recognized our own beliefs in the aspiration of men and women who took to the streets. We insisted on change in Egypt because our support for democracy ultimately put us on the side of the people. We supported a transition of leadership in Yemen because the interests of the people were no longer being served by a corrupt status quo.
UPDATE: While pessimistic in his report to the UNSC, Brahimi allowed a glimmer of hope to penetrate—saying, “All I can tell you is that the situation is indeed extremely difficult. There is a stalemate, there is no prospect today or tomorrow to move forward.”
But he added, “Now that I have found out a little bit more about what is happening in the country and the region, I think we will find an opening in the not-too-distant future. I refuse to believe that reasonable people do not see that you cannot go backward, that you cannot go back to the Syria of the past. I told everybody in Damascus and elsewhere that reform is not enough anymore, what is needed is change.”
EARLIER POST: Lakhdar Brahimi, the veteran diplomat and former Algerian foreign minister who succeeded Kofi Annan as the UN’s Syria mediator, is scheduled to brief the UN Security Council today on the results of the first round of his talks, according to Al Arabiya. So far, a diplomatic solution to the civil war doesn’t look likely, but there are some promising signs. One is that in Damascus, a large group of representatives of the nonviolent opposition to President Assad’s government met to call for Assad to step down. As The New York Times reports:
It’s nearly time for postseason baseball, when, as the song goes: “And it’s one, two, three strikes you’re out.” But when it comes to foreign policy, Romney now has strike four.
Strike one was his ridiculous comment that Russia is America’s “No. I geopolitical foe.” Strike two was his much-derided trip to Britain, Israel and Poland, where he piled mistake on mistake. Strike Three—“Yerrr out!”—was his outrageous comment that President Obama “sympathizes” with armed Islamists who attacked the consulate in Benghazi.
Now, thanks to Mother Jones, we’ve seen Romney whiff at strike four, namely, his comments that the Palestinians don’t want peace and that Iran is run by “crazy people.” I’d say, You can’t make this stuff up, but apparently Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel does make it up and then feed it to Mitt Romney, who swallows it whole.
The United States is sharply reducing its “partnership” with Afghan national security forces (ANSF), including Afghanistan’s army, in the wake of a steady series of so-called green-on-blue attacks in which uniformed Afghans have killed US troops and other international forces. Among other things, this is likely to increase civilian casualties among Afghans between now and 2014.
Let’s unpack this: in recent days, besides the green-on-blue attacks, there have been several incidents of US forces killing Afghan civilians, including an airstrike over the weekend that killed eight women and children. As usual, NATO/ISAF inituially denied killing the women and girls, then admitted it, as CNN reports:
NATO admitted that it had killed Afghan civilians in an airstrike early Sunday morning, hours after saying there was no evidence of civilian deaths. “A number of Afghan civilians were unintentionally killed or injured during this mission,” the coalition said in a statement accepting “full responsibility for this tragedy.” NATO’s International Security Assistance Force “offers its sincerest regret to the families,” the statement said. The coalition first cast doubt on an Afghan official’s assertion that eight women were killed and seven more wounded in a coalition airstrike Sunday morning in Laghman province.

Republican presidential candidate and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney leaves the podium after he makes comments on the killing of US embassy officials in Benghazi, Libya, while speaking in Jacksonville, Florida, Wednesday, September 12, 2012. (AP Photo/Charles Dharapak)
Mitt Romney has, for all intents and purposes, pretty much disqualified himself for the presidency by his intemperate comments in regard to the murder of the US ambassador in Libya. His bungling trip to Britain, Israel and Poland was bad enough, but his shocking remarks blasting President Obama and kowtowing to extremist, anti-Muslim Republican voters ought to be the final straw.
A quick summary of the facts: an extremist, Israeli-American’s film about Islam stirs up radical Muslims in Egypt, Libya, and elsewhere. The US embassy in Cairo, obviously sensing that tension was building, condemns the propaganda film. Then, the embassy in Cairo and the consulate in Benghazi come under attack. When the American diplomats are killed, including the US ambassador, President Obama and Secretary of State Clinton issue fierce condemnations. And Romney says this:
I’m outraged by the attacks on American diplomatic missions in Libya and Egypt and by the death of an American consulate worker [sic] in Benghazi. It’s disgraceful that the Obama administration’s first response was not to condemn attacks on our diplomatic missions, but to sympathize with those who waged the attacks.
The United States must immediately end all—and I mean all—support for the Syrian rebels. It should abandon them to their fate, whatever that might be. It should avoid getting involved, just as it abandoned Eastern European anti-Soviet rebellions in 1956 and 1968, just as it cut off Kurdish anti-Saddam separatists in the early 1970s and Shiite anti-Saddam rebels in 1991. And just as it didn’t intervene, thank goodness, in the 2009 Green Movement uprising in Iran.
What’s happening in Syria has transformed, inch by inch, from an Arab Spring–type rebellion against an autocrat, à la Tunisia and Egypt, into a full-fledged civil war. In that war, one side is amply backed by Iran, Russia and, it now appears, Iraq. And the other side is supported by the United States, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and the Arab Persian Gulf kleptocracies.
Note any pattern? Yes, Sunni vs. Shiite. The United States is now engaged nearly completely in a sectarian, region-wide conflict pitting anti-American, Shiite powers and their allies against a Sunni bloc, including the Muslim Brotherhood. In Syria, the opposition is heavily influenced by, if not dominated by, the Syrian branch of the Muslim Brotherhood and other Sunni militants, including a smattering of Al Qaeda types. And it’s now getting the full-throated support of the Egyptian president, a Muslim Brotherhood leader, and the Muslim Brotherhood in Jordan, too.


