Lately, here and there, a smattering of left-leaning critics and analysts have delivered scathing reviews of President Obama’s foreign policy. Some insist on calling him “worse than Bush,” which simply means that they’ve forgotten 2001–05 almost completely. Among Obama’s faults that they catalogue are many that I’ve criticized myself: spending far too much on defense; institutionalizing the “Global War on Terror” via the worldwide drone-led killing machine; tripling our forces in Afghanistan in 2009; seeking a dangerous, anti-China alliance among Japan, South Korea, Australia, the Philippines and other countries in Asia; blundering into Libya; imposing useless and counterproductive sanctions on Iran while building up US forces in the Persian Gulf; utterly ignoring Palestine; trampling civil liberties at home and keeping Guantánamo open; and more. Feel free to add to the list.
I get it. Still, tomorrow I’ll be voting for Obama as if my life depended on it.
There are plenty of reasons, of course, to vote for Obama on domestic concerns too, especially to protect what’s left of the shredded safety net, including Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security, and to avoid yet another ratcheting up of income inequality via tax cuts for the superrich.
Drop what you’re doing and read Greg Miller’s blockbuster piece in The Washington Post today on the American killing machine in what continues, sadly, to be a “Global War on Terrorism.”
According to the story, US officials say that the worldwide killer-drone program is open-ended and unending, planned to last at least another ten years:
Among senior Obama administration officials, there is a broad consensus that such operations are likely to be extended at least another decade. Given the way al-Qaeda continues to metastasize, some officials said no clear end is in sight. “We can’t possibly kill everyone who wants to harm us,” a senior administration official said. “It’s a necessary part of what we do…. We’re not going to wind up in 10 years in a world of everybody holding hands and saying, ‘We love America.’ ”
For anyone with a pulse (and, I suppose, a few brain cells), the scores from Monday night were clearly: San Francisco 9, St. Louis 0 and Barack Obama 1, Mitt Romney 0. On a point-for-point basis—and not that Obama’s positions and debate points were progressive or left-leaning, by any means—Obama won by a knockout. He was calm, consistent, well-informed and articulate. Yet the fact remains that Obama probably didn’t win over any undecided voters last night, if there are any of that rare breed left. Here’s why.
As in the first debate, when Romney the Radical disappeared and was replaced by Mitt the Moderate, last night it was the Moderate once again who sat down next to Obama. Many progressives and supporters of Obama thought that the framework of the foreign policy debate would be simple. They believed that Romney could be slammed as a radical, neoconservative, war-mongering militarist who, in addition, was a know-nothing. Too many analysts, including at The Nation, believed that it would be a simple matter to equate Romney with those among his advisers who were neocons left over the Bush administration.
But facts are facts, and the fact is that Romney is not a neocon. His rightward drift in the primary season, during which he placated the most militant among the Republican faithful, was Etch-A-Sketched away. That was entirely predictable. In fact, of course, Romney advisers said that he’d do exactly that during the general election. It’s foolish to pick and choose among the various positions that Romney has taken to conclude which is the “real Romney,” Romney the Radical or Mitt the Moderate. That’s because Romney is blank slate, a kind of cyborg programmed to win, in which ideology doesn’t play a part. As one adviser said, Romney is a businessman who sees everything in balance-sheet format, and “balance sheets don’t hate.” That’s true when it comes to domestic policy: abortion, Obamacare, same-sex marriage, Medicare privatization. And it’s true for foreign policy, too.
Don’t take too seriously the furious denials coming from Washington and Tehran about this weekend’s bombshell New York Times story reporting that the United States and Iran have agreed “in principle” to have direct, one-on-one talks after the election.
Both countries’ leaderships, sadly, have reasons to deny any such agreement, in public.
But the report ought to be filed under good news, since presumably the whole point of President Obama’s tough talk on Iran, keeping the military option “on the table,” imposing harsh economic sanctions, and meanwhile seeking talks was designed for precisely this result: that Iran’s ruling ayatollahs sit down with US diplomats. (Until now, all negotiations have been conducted under the auspices of the clumsy P5+1 world powers and Iran, but everyone knows that the real dispute was between Washington and Tehran. The Times reports that the agreement they report followed “intense, secret exchanges between American and Iranian officials” over a prolonged period.)
Last night’s debate between President Obama and Mitt Romney didn’t say much about Afghanistan, and neither did the earlier one. As I blogged last week, the debate between Vice President Biden and Paul Ryan did touch on Afghanistan, and it was marked by Biden’s strong assertion that US forces are on the way out.
Perhaps the next presidential debate on Monday, slated to cover foreign policy, will address Afghanistan, but don’t expect any revelations—or even much disagreement.
But Americans are sick of the war, and that was the jumping-off point for a remarkable New York Times editorial last Sunday called “Time to Pack Up.” It was a reversal of sorts for the Times, which has opted for a stay-the-course approach mostly in line with the conventional wisdom that Afghanization of the war will somehow allow the center to hold. It won’t. Belatedly, the Times acknowledges that, suggesting that Afghanistan is a lost cause. And it says that getting out sooner, rather than later—even within a year—is a good idea.
Perhaps some see an equivalence of sorts here, but I don’t. The same stories today that report that two American soldiers died in yet another green-on-blue attack (i.e., anti-American Afghan security forces or police killing US troops) note also that three little children reportedly died in a US airstrike.
The deaths follow a strong warning from the head of the International Committee of the Red Cross that civilians would be the ones to suffer as the American troops drawdown.
In fact, the drawdown means less troops on the ground, and therefore more airstrikes.
Last night, Vice President Joe Biden managed, on Afghanistan at least, to sound like a peacenik. Not so, Ryan.
Listen to Biden:
[W]e are leaving. We are leaving in 2014. Period. And in the process, we’re going to be saving over the next 10 years another $800 billion. We’ve been in this war for over a decade. The primary objective is almost completed. Now, all we’re doing is putting the Kabul government in a position to be able to maintain their own security. It’s their responsibility, not America’s.
It’s ironic, and perhaps a sign of desperation on the part of the Republican party, that eleven years after 9/11 it is still trying to scare Americans with the specter of Al Qaeda. Let’s see, tonight, in the vice presidential debate, whether foreign policy know-nothing Paul Ryan tries it.
By and large, in 2012, US voters have no appetite at all for foreign military entanglements and wars. President Obama, who yesterday named yet another new commander for the failed war in Afghanistan, did so after saying (in a Monday campaign speech that was blasted by the reliably pro-war Wall Street Journal in an editorial) that “al Qaeda is on its heels and Osama bin Laden is no more.” In naming General Joe Dunford as the new commander, Obama made it clear that, for all intents and purposes, the war in Afghanistan is over, saying that the general “will lead our forces through key milestones in our effort that will allow us to bring the war to a close responsibly as Afghanistan takes full responsibility for its security.”
Emphasizing that point, The Wall Street Journal reports succinctly on the abrupt shutdown of the incredibly costly and useless nation-building effort in Afghanistan:
The outgoing head of the International Committee of the Red Cross in Afghanistan, Reto Stocker, delivered a sober warning about that war-torn nation’s future, in particular that civilians in Afghanistan—who’ve been suffering for three decades—face a bleak future.
Stocker’s important warning, which contrasts sharply with the Pollyannish views of Secretary of Defense Panetta and the head of the UN in Afghanistan, was issued as he left the country after seven years in Kabul:
I am filled with concern as I leave this country. Since I arrived here in 2005, local armed groups have proliferated, civilians have been caught between not just one but multiple front lines, and it has become increasingly difficult for ordinary Afghans to obtain health care. People are not just suffering the effects of the armed conflict. Hardship arising from the economic situation, or from severe weather or natural disaster, has become more widespread, and hope for the future has been steadily declining.
It’s not a revolution yet, but what’s happening in Iran signals that the long-running crisis in relations between Iran and the United States may be nearing a turning point. Iran’s currency, the rial, has collapsed, and it’s plunging further each day, as prices skyrocket and Iranians scramble to find hard currency. Having already lost half of its value since 2011, it fell another 40 percent this week. A big reason: Iran’s oil exports—which once topped 4 million barrels per day—fell from just over 2 million barrels per day in 2011 to about 1 million barrels per day today, leaving a gaping hole in Iran’s foreign exchange earnings.
The collapse of the rial poses a fundamental challenge to Ayatollah Khamenei. When I last visited Iran, in 2009, a nearly universal refrain—among ordinary Iranians, business people, and especially among the circle of big-business types associated with Ayatollah Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani—a former president who backed the Green Movement—was that the pain of economic sanctions was biting harshly. Many asked, “Why endure this hardship and international isolation simply in order to protect a nuclear program that isn’t necessary for Iran’s future?”
Good question.


