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George Zornick

George Zornick

Action and dysfunction in the Beltway swamp. E-mail tips to george@thenation.com

Ten Ridiculous Questions From Chuck Hagel’s Confirmation Hearing


 Republican Chuck Hagel, a former two-term senator from Nebraska and President Obama's choice to lead the Pentagon, testifies before the Senate Armed Services Committee during his confirmation hearing on Capitol Hill in Washington, Thursday, Jan. 31, 2013. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)

Chuck Hagel appeared before his former colleagues on the Senate Armed Services Committee on Thursday, seeking their approval for his nomination to serve as secretary of defense. What followed was one of the most absurd, embarrassing hearings in recent Washington memory.

Senators battered Hagel for even small departures from accepted conventional wisdom, subtly (and not-so-subtly) charged that he actually sought America’s destruction, begged him to keep defense spending headed towards their state, and generally thrashed traditional notions of the Senate’s role to “advise and consent” on cabinet appointments.

It was a difficult task to narrow these down, but here are ten of the most ridiculous questions posed to Hagel:

Winners, “Please Admit You Hate America” Division

Senator James Inhofe, R-OK: The question I’d like to ask you, and you can answer for the record if you like, why do you think that the Iranian foreign ministry so strongly supports your nomination to be the secretary of defense?

Senator Lindsey Graham, R-SC: Do you believe that the sum total of all of your votes, refusing to sign a letter to the EU asking Hezbollah to be designated a terrorist organization, being one of two to vote [against] designating the Iranian Revolutionary Guard a terrorist organization, being one of two on two occasions to vote against sanctions that this body was trying to impose on Iran, the statements you made about Palestinians and the Jewish lobby, all that together—that the image you’ve created is one of sending the worst possible message to our enemies and our friends at one of the most critical times in world history?

Winners, “Please Pledge, Here and Now, To Start A War” Division

Senator John McCain, R-AZ: Do you think that Syrians should get the weapons they need and perhaps establish a no-fly zone? [A no-fly zone would, almost without question, quickly lead to a full-scale air war with Syria.]

Senator Mark Udall, D-CO: Why should Americans trust that you will consider every option when it comes to one of the most serious national security threats facing us today, which is Iran? [There were many, many iterations of this same question.] 

Winners, “Please Promise to Keep the Pork Flowing to my State” Division

Senator Joe Donnelly, D-IN: When we were together, I mentioned to you my visit to Crane Surface Warfare Systems, in Indiana. What they do is they work to create the technologies to control the spectrum, in effect try to win the battlefield before the battle starts on the ground. And so, we were wondering, what can be done, in this time of challenging budgets, that in the area of technology, in the area of spectrum, we can maintain our budget so that, as I said, before the war is ever started on the ground we have won it on the spectrum level?

Senator Richard Blumenthal, D-CT: I would like a commitment that you are committed as well to a fleet of twelve Ohio-class replacement submarines.

Senator Jeanne Shaheen, D-NH: Our four public shipyards are the backbone of our naval power. But according to the Navy there’s huge backlog of the modernization and restorations projects at our shipyards.… Will you commit to ensuring that this modernization plan is produced, and will you commit to pressing the Navy, within the fiscal constraints that I appreciate, to fully fund the improvements in the long term?

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Winners, “Questions We Really Wish Hagel Would Have Answered ‘Yes’ To”

Senator Mike Lee, R-UT: I understand that you have made a statement that there is no justification for Palestinian suicide bombers, but there is also no justification for Israel to “keep Palestinians caged up like animals.” Did you say it, and if so do you stand by it?

Senator Ted Cruz, R-TX: Senator Hagel, do you think it’s appropriate for the chief civilian leader for the US military forces to agree with the statement that both the ‘perception and the reality’ is that the United States is ‘the world’s bully’?”

Senator Roger Wicker, R-MS: You have corrected the term Jewish lobby. And I assume the correct term now is Israel lobby or Israeli lobby. Do you still stand by your statement that they succeed in this town because of intimidation, and that it amounts to causing us to do dumb things?

In an ideal world, we would have a better nominee than Chuck Hagel for Secretary of Defense. But in the real world, he's a pragmatic choice who may actually fight bloated defense spending, the all-powerful Israel lobby and warmongering of all stripes, Phyllis Bennis writes.

Environmentalists Are Rankled by Some Details of the Sandy Bill

Part of the Stewart B. McKinney wildlife preserve in Connecticut, which will be ineligible for restoration funds under the Sandy relief bill passed this week. (Greg Thompson, US Fish & Wildlife Service.)

After much haggling with conservatives, the Senate finally passed a bill on Monday that provided $50.7 billion in relief to people affected by Hurricane Sandy. President Obama signed it late Tuesday.

That’s certainly a good thing—but along the way, the bill got roughed up a little bit in a couple ways that have irritated environmental groups.

The first was a $150 million cut in the amount of money that was originally headed to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. That agency was going to use the money for coastal reconstruction and land acquisition by granting it to Regional Ocean Partnerships, which are multi-state coalitions formed to better manage ocean coasts that touch many different states.

But Regional Ocean Partnerships are an integral part of Obama’s National Ocean Policy, which he created in 2010—much to the dismay of Congressional Republicans and the oil companies who fund them. They hate the policy because, among other reasons, it creates substantial obstacles to offshore oil drilling.

Republicans have repeatedly passed amendments barring any money from going to National Ocean Policy implementation, and when House Republicans saw $150 million going to the Regional Ocean Partnerships in the Sandy relief bill, they axed it—even though it only would have gone to coastline restoration. The money was not restored in the final Senate version, and so NOAA has virtually no money to restore sand dunes, coastal wetlands and other areas damaged by Superstorm Sandy.

The National Resources Defense Council, while applauding passage of the bill, blasted the removal of that money as something that will “impede the protection of our oceans and land.”

House Republicans—specifically, Representative Rob Bishop—also added another provision that could hamstring federal efforts to restore damaged coastline. The Bishop amendment to the Sandy relief bill, which remained in the Senate version, prohibits the federal government from using any of the money to acquire new land.

Bishop supposedly feared a covert federal land grab, but in reality any land acquisition would only be allowed in areas affected by Sandy—just like every other provision in the bill, language specifically limited the funds to that use. And land purchases would simply be used to restore space to areas that suffered irreparable storm damage, and also add additional buffer zones for future storms.

Another provision added to the bill is nakedly punitive—a simple “screw you” to residents of Connecticut.

The Stewart B. McKinney National Wildlife Refuge includes four sets of coastal islands and spans seventy miles of coastline in Connecticut along the Long Island Sound. It encompasses over 800 acres of barrier beach and tidal wetland, and “provides important resting, feeding, and nesting habitat for many species of wading birds, shorebirds, songbirds and terns, including the endangered roseate tern.”

It was ravished by Sandy and sustained what its manager termed “severe” damage. In the original Sandy relief bill put forward by the White House, the McKinney refuge was slated to receive $9.8 million to fix the damage—a vanishing fraction of the entire $50 billion legislation.

But if you read the final Sandy relief bill, you’ll notice a somewhat odd provision:

The provisions under this heading in title V of this division shall be applied by substituting ‘$78,000,000 (reduced by $9,800,000)’ for ‘$49,875,000’: Provided, That none of the funds made available under such heading in title V may be used to repair seawalls or buildings on islands in the Stewart B. McKinney National Wildlife Refuge.

Yes, the legislation specifically took away that $9.8 million and singled out the McKinney refuge as ineligible for restoration.

Why? Because a Republican representative of Louisiana, John Fleming, made the McKinney nature preserve a symbol of supposedly wasteful pork spending in the relief bill.

“For Heaven’s sake we should not be spending money restoring coastlines on islands that nobody ever goes to,” he crowed on the House floor during the debate earlier this month. (Over 17,000 people visit the McKinney refuge each year, and visitors are sort of besides the point to a wildlife refuge anyhow).

But to appease the talking point, House Republicans passed Fleming’s amendment to specifically keep the McKinney refuge from getting any money. Officials now say it will be hard for them to repair the damage and protect the land.

Besides coastal restoration, House Republicans also will likely block meaningful immigration reform.

The Numbers Just Don’t Add Up on Immigration Reform


Demonstrators display placards during a rally in front of the Statehouse, in Providence, R.I., Wednesday, Oct. 5, 2011. (AP Photo/Steven Senne)

Inside Washington on Monday, the realest talk on comprehensive immigration reform came around 3:45 in the afternoon, an hour after the “Gang of Eight” released its comprehensive immigration reform proposal.

That’s when Senator Jefferson Beauregard Sessions III of Alabama walked onto the floor of the Senate and started throwing ice-cold water on all this highfalutin immigration talk:

In 2006 and 2007, with the full support of the Republican president of the United States, a bipartisan committee announced with great confidence they had a plan that’s going to fix our immigration system, and we were all just going to line up and vote for it. The masters of the universe decided.

They met in secret, they had all the special interest groups gather, and they worked out a plan that was going to change our immigration system for the better. And we should all be grateful.

It came up in 2006; it did not pass. It came back in 2007 with even more emphasis; it failed colossally. It failed because it did not do what they said it would do. It did not end the illegality. It did not set forth a proper principle of immigration for America, it did not sufficiently alter the nature of our immigration system to advance the national interest of the United States. It did not. And that’s why it didn’t pass.

It had all the powerful forces—it had the TV guys and newspaper guys and the Wall Street guys and the agriculture guys and the civil rights groups and the La Raza groups and the politicians. But the American people said no.

If you substitute “my overwhelmingly white, Southern constituents” for “the American people,” that is indeed exactly what happened. And it is quite likely to happen again. When one examines polls of Republican voters on immigration reform, and then looks at how many Congressional seats are held by the GOP, it is sadly easy to see that despite all the rosy talk, real immigration reform will remain elusive.

One week after November’s election, when defeat was presumably most raw for Republican voters, and stories abounded about the demographic doom facing the GOP, the Washington Post and ABC News conducted a poll about immigration reform.

The top line was that more Americans were now backing a pathway to citizenship. (A pathway to citizenship is essential to any comprehensive immigration reform—it is comprehensive immigration reform. Otherwise we’re just talking about more border security.) But when broken down by party identification, the results weren’t nearly as promising:

Not only did a mere 37 percent of Republicans nationwide favor a pathway to citizenship, only 11 percent strongly supported it. By comparison, 47 of the 60 percent who opposed it felt strongly about that view. 

This fairly unified base of voters is who Senator Sessions is talking to when he goes on about “illegality,” and makes not-so-subtle nativist appeals to the “proper immigration policy for America,” one that is in the “national interest of the United States” and that the “American people” have already spoken on. (In Alabama, I doubt support for citizenship would even sniff the 37 percent level it receives among Republicans nationally.)

Many of Sessions’ colleagues, particularly in the House—where districts are small and meticulously tailored to include only the reddest voters—have already similarly dismissed the Gang of Eight proposal on its face because it contains a pathway to citizenship, or “amnesty” as they derisively call it. “This will be a green light for anyone who wants to come to America illegally and then be granted citizenship one day,” said Representative Lou Barletta. “When you legalize those who are in the country illegally, it costs taxpayers millions of dollars, costs American workers thousands of jobs and encourages more illegal immigration,” said Representative Lamar Smith, a key member of the immigration subcommittee of the House Judiciary Committee.

Are these members acting in the best long-term interests of the Republican Party? Almost certainly not. Any strategist in D.C. can tell you that. But they are responding to different, more immediate incentives involving their deeply conservative base—and they are responding rationally.

Thanks to the gerrymandering that took place after the 2010 Census, Democrats would need to win the national popular vote by more than seven points to take back the House, according to an analysis by Ian Millhiser at the Center for American Progress. That’s a whopping margin unlikely to happen anytime soon: even Obama’s relatively overwhelming win in November was just under 4 points. The reality is that House Republicans almost need not worry about the national vote—they are nearly invincible to that.

Rather, the only obstacle to staying in office are primary challenges from the right. And when the base hates citizenship for undocumented residents, supporting it is your one-way ticket out of Washington. The consultant class in D.C.—the elites that Sessions was thumbing his nose at—just won’t be able to force real immigration reform upon these members.

So can real reform pass with a majority of Republicans opposing it? In the Senate, even assuming an immigration bill gets unanimous Democratic support—no sure thing, given the number of Democratic Senators up for re-election in red states in 2014—you’d need five Republican crossovers. In the House, even if every Democrat supported a comprehensive immigration reform, seventeen Republicans would have to vote for it as well to ensure passage.

Maybe, maybe this happens. Forget bipartisanship—this is the only real hope for real immigration reform: a Democratic bill with a small handful of Republicans willing to walk the plank.

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But it’s more likely that the Republican leaders of this new approach to immigration reform will bail out long before that happens, thus denying everybody cover and scuttling the whole deal. Alex Pareene noted yesterday that Gang of Eight member Senator Lindsey Graham has a long, long history of pulling out of bipartisan negotiations at the last minute because of an objection he’d had the whole time anyway. (This familiar maneuver has allowed Graham to simultaneously portray himself as both a leading statesman and hardcore conservative, often with the help of a compliant Beltway press.) Since Graham is facing a South Carolina primary race in 2014, I’d bet almost anything he pulls the same switcheroo again.

Marco Rubio, too, has to first face Republican primary voters if he wants to be elected president in 2016. And in South Carolina last year, 49 percent of GOP voters in this key primary state said that if a candidate supported even “limited amnesty,” it would make them “unacceptable” as a nominee.

Accordingly, Rubio may already laying groundwork for a Graham-esque two-step. Tuesday morning, Rubio slammed Obama for a soft stance on border security the president had not yet taken, and said it “does not bode well in terms of what his role’s going to be in this or the outcome.” Later in the day, he told Rush Limbaugh—another powerful and dedicated foe of real immigration reform—that he would insist that any citizenship efforts be contingent upon certain border security “triggers,” likely in the form of certification by a panel of border state officials. This would probably kill the deal, because Democrats don’t want to give people like Arizona Governor Jan Brewer veto power over citizenship for 11 million people.

Rubio can walk away if and when Democrats don’t agree to these triggers. He can tell Republican primary voters he stood up to the Democrats and ultimately opposed a citizenship process—yet, if he makes it to the general election, he can flip the frame and remind everyone that he was leading a push for comprehensive immigration reform. This may not be best outcome for the Republican party, but it’s the best outcome for Rubio’s 2016 prospects.

(In that case, by the way, he’d be following in the footsteps of the last leading Republican crusader for immigration reform, John McCain—thus making make Sessions’ prediction all the more prescient. McCain co-sponsored that doomed 2006 and 2007 push, which included a pathway to citizenship. But when it fell apart, he pretended in the primary he was never really for a path to citizenship anyhow. You may recall his infamous statement in the primary debates that he would not have supported his own bill if it came for a vote.)

Talk about new electoral realities and real, comprehensive immigration reform is exciting—but ultimately, far too optimistic. The electoral realities are the same as they have ever been for the GOP, and ultimately Republicans will probably kill this bill. It’s not right, it’s not fair, but it’s simply the latest iteration of the prevailing political story of the past two years—Republicans can and will stop anything their ever-shrinking base wants them to.

In more disappointing news, read how Harry Reid and the Democrats capitulated on fillibuster reform.

There Was No Reason to Surrender on Filibuster Reform


(AP Photo/Haraz N. Ghanbari.)

There’s a lot of unconvincing spin coming from the Senate Democrats who brokered an awful “filibuster reform” deal with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell Thursday morning. Chief among them is the argument that this is any kind of actual reform—it isn’t.

The deal doesn’t implement a talking filibuster sought by liberal Senators Jeff Merkley and Tom Udall. It doesn’t flip the filibuster burden to the minority, requiring them to come up with forty-one votes. It simply eliminates filibusters on motions to proceed only—and that’s if senators from both parties agree on it. There are also some minor changes to limit debate on sub-cabinet and district court nominations.

“After these small changes the Senate will operate much the same way as it did yesterday,” a Democratic aide told TPM. Republicans agree: “Rules change doesn't really do a lot,” Senator Johnny Isakson told TPM. “It preserves the filibuster.”

Another silly argument is that, even though there were fifty-one votes to push through stronger reforms using the nuclear option, doing so would have angered Republicans and created more gridlock. This is a nicer approach that will encourage more comity. “It’ll give great momentum to working on a bipartisan basis here in the Senate,” Carl Levin told reporters. Anyone who actually believes that has a wildly undue faith in Mitch McConnell.

Yet another argument, channeled here by Ezra Klein, is that a massive filibuster fight is pointless with a Republican House, which will kill any liberal Senate bills anyhow. Putting aside any consideration of a long-term strategy, this would still be true only if the House had a say in nominations—which of course it does not. If a conservative Supreme Court justice retires or dies in the next four years, and the GOP filibusters Obama’s liberal appointee, let’s check back in on this theory.

The one argument with some real sway—and one aimed right at the progressive activists pushing for reform—is that if the filibuster is abolished, liberals would be unable to stop scary GOP bills should that party regain control of the Senate, which is at some point inevitable.

Said one pro-Reid aide to the Huffington Post: “Let's face it, if not for 60 [vote threshold] then Roe v. Wade might be dead and Social Security would be private accounts.”

But this argument is just as unpersuasive as the rest. It ignores the historical use of the filibuster, and recent Democratic reluctance to be anywhere near as aggressive as Republicans.

The filibuster has most notably been used to block progressive legislation, from anti-lynching laws to civil rights. (In fact, as this fascinating analysis from Slate in 2010 shows, in terms of the actual public, the filibuster is generally used to enforce majority rule, not protect minority rule.)

The filibuster simply hasn’t been in the purview of liberals in the Senate—and it likely won’t be if Republicans gain control in 2014. Just look at the record under Harry Reid when George W. Bush was president. Democrats in the Senate used the filibuster sparingly compared to Republicans post-2006, when its use absolutely skyrocketed. The cloture votes in 2009 and 2010 were more than the sum of cloture votes from 1919 through 1982.

Reid wielded the filibuster most publicly against Bush’s judicial nominees—but he still let through all but a small handful of true radicals. In fact, he even let those judges through in 2005 when McConnell threatened to use the nuclear option—including a judge who likened Social Security to cannibalism and thought all regulation might be constitutionally suspect.

It’s just not likely that Reid, or whoever leads Senate Democrats next, would come close to the level of obstruction now practiced by Republicans, which is just what the stronger reforms were meant to address. Reid doesn’t have the stomach for it—ironically, his cautious approach and respect for the institution of the Senate that lead to today’s weak reform would also paradoxically lead to an unwillingness to wield the filibuster as strongly if he found himself the minority leader once again.

The broader point is that Democrats should be willing to fight in the arena of ideas anyhow. The pro-Reid aide quoted earlier raised the prospect of Social Security privatization—an idea so unpopular that when it was proposed in 2005, it didn’t even come for a vote in the Republican-controlled House of Representatives. More recently, Paul Ryan and Mitt Romney completely disavowed it on the campaign trail. (The other scary idea raised by that aide, that Roe vs. Wade “might be dead,” is literally nonsensical. The only thing Congress could do to kill it would be a constitutional amendment, which would require a two-thirds vote anyway.)  

Simply put, the most radical ideas put forth by Republicans, and thus those most deserving of the filibuster, are likely to be wildly unpopular. They can be defeated without it. And in the event of a crisis, Democrats would still have the talking filibuster.

An even broader point—and the most important one—is that the Senate was simply not designed to work under a sixty-vote threshold. It’s not what the framers intended. The Senate is considered the more deliberative body because members have six-year terms and generally bigger constituencies, not because they are supposed to pass everything with a supermajority. If Reid truly respects the institution, he should have considered restoring it to its original form.

New Congressional Task Force on Climate Change Aims to ‘Break Through Barricades of Denial’

Senator Sheldon Whitehouse and Representative Henry Waxman announce a new Congressional initiative on climate change in the US Capitol on January 24, 2013. Photo by George Zornick

President Obama’s new push on climate change will be an “aggressive campaign built around the use of his executive powers to sidestep congressional opposition,” which makes some sense: Republicans in the House of Representatives are so stridently against taking action on global warming they even killed an amendment in 2011 that simply stated humans are driving climate change.

But that doesn’t mean Congress should just sit this battle out, given its massive import—and to that end, Representative Henry Waxman and Senator Sheldon Whitehouse announced today the creation of a new bicameral task force on climate change. It’s open to members of both parties in both houses of Congress. (Representative Ed Markey and Senator Barbara Boxer are already on board, and they expect more members to join in the days ahead.)

“Every day we wait, every time we allow an opportunity to reduce our carbon pollution pass us by, it becomes less likely that we will be able to prevent the worst impacts of climate change,” Waxman said at an event in the Capitol this morning.

“This threat is not waiting until we are ready to act on it. When the next generation looks back on this era, they won’t be talking about what we did about the deficit or the fiscal cliff. It will be whether we rose to the historic challenge of global warming and climate change.”

The immediate goal is to push the administration forward on key initiatives under its control—the task force’s first action was to send Obama a letter asking him to use his State of the Union address to clearly outline a comprehensive climate change plan, including laying out specific steps federal agencies will take, accelerating federal investments in clean energy and developing a strategy for protecting vulnerable areas of the country from the worst effects of climate change.

Waxman thinks he has a willing partner in the White House. He noted that, on inauguration day, he spoke with Obama at the traditional luncheon and thanked him for mentioning climate change. Obama responded, according to Waxman, that “I didn’t just mention it. I emphasized it, I talked about it,” and then said it was time to go beyond talk.

While focusing for now on the administrative route, the task force is not ruling out pushing for big legislation, either. Waxman—the co-author of the cap-and-trade plan that many people forget actually passed the House in 2009—noted in the press conference he’s now focused on the prospect of a carbon tax.

“I personally believe that if we try to put a price on carbon, we can help solve the seemingly intractable problem of global warming and at the same time help solve the seemingly intractable problem of the budget deficit,” he said.

Waxman acknowledged the immediate prospects of legislation are dim, but said he hoped that aggressive executive action by Obama might bring Republicans to the table in Congress to pass legislation they can affect instead.

A third, and crucial, element to the task force will be mobilizing the public to take action.

Senator Whitehouse—who spoke passionately about the changes to the ocean already being measured in Rhode Island—emphasized that this outreach is badly needed.

“We know that meaningful carbon legislation won’t pass in this Congress under the present status quo—of a Congress surrounded and barricaded by special interests, by polluters, by phony organizations set up by polluters to look like legitimate scientific organizations,” Whitehouse said.  

“So a new factor has to be brought into that equation, and that is the clear understanding, a clear and present understanding of the American public, that this is something we have to do something about,” he continued. “And we intend to reach out to the American public, and we intend to reach out to different elements and groups of the public, to make sure that they come here and force their way through those barricades of denial.”

The White House Sends Troubling Signals About Its First Climate Test: Keystone XL


Demonstrators rally against the Keystone XL pipeline in front of the White House on Nov. 6, 2011. (Reuters/Joshua Roberts.)

Addressing climate change was—quite remarkably—the most prominent policy vow President Obama made yesterday on the steps of the US Capitol Building. “We will respond to the threat of climate change, knowing that failure to do so would betray our children and future generations,” he proclaimed.

The administration’s resolve on this issue will be tested quickly, when the Keystone XL pipeline comes up for review once again. Obama denied approval for the project in January 2012 over concerns it would damage Nebraska’s Ogalalla Aquifer, but allowed TransCanada to reapply for a permit with a different route, which it has done. A re-review of the project from the State Department may now be coming within the next few weeks.

It’s notable that the White House initially denied the project based on the logic that it might be bad for certain Nebraskans—not that it would pump unacceptable levels of carbon pollution into the air. (Which it would: NASA’s James Hansen has said “it’s basically game over” for climate change if the project goes ahead, and a new report released last week says it’s worse than we thought—the likely greenhouse gas emissions would be 13 percent higher than what the State Department originally estimated, according to the authors).

So will Obama’s new and ostensibly bold direction on climate change mean denying the project again, this time making explicit the harmful greenhouse gas argument? Or will the project be approved now that the pipeline has been rerouted around that aquifer?

White House Press Secretary Jay Carney’s answer to a reporter’s question this afternoon offers virtually no comfort to environmentalists and pipeline opponents. When asked about the Republican governor of Nebraska, a former pipeline opponent, who blessed the project today now that it’s been re-routed, Carney said:

It’s interesting—you mention the Nebraska governor. This whole process, as you remember, got sort of derailed because of insistence on sort of politicizing something that was not political. It was a process that followed the format that had been used in the past in terms of the State Department’s role in approving these types of pipelines when they cross international boundaries. One of the things that delayed or postponed this process had to do with the opposition of the Nebraska governor and others in that state to the route Keystone was proposed to take, the pipeline was proposed to take, so I think that’s just an instructive reminder about how this ended up where it is now.

Well, yes, that is instructive. Carney appears to be preparing reporters for an approval of the project. He singled out the governor’s opposition as the key obstacle, and one that has been overcome. By slapping at the idea it was a “political” decision, Carney seems to be suggesting that the uproar and protests by environmentalists—and ensuing accusations by Republicans that the project was denied in deference to them—was all a sideshow, and that the real problem was one that has now been figured out.

Approving the pipeline would cripple any notion the White House is actually serious about addressing climate change. White House aides have said Obama’s planned action on climate change will be an “aggressive campaign built around the use of his executive powers to sidestep congressional opposition,” and so this is the perfect test case for that approach. Obama can deny the project without consulting Congress at all. The political costs to killing the project are likely to be low as well. Mitt Romney’s presidential campaign, along with congressional Republicans, endlessly hammered Obama this summer and fall for denying the project—to no measurable effect in November.

In short, there really isn’t any excuse, and the decision will no doubt be considered an early litmus test of the administration’s seriousness about tackling global warming. Senator Bernie Sanders, who also wants Obama to push for legislative action on climate change, said in a statement today that “the president can, and must, move aggressively to use executive powers to reduce pollution and reject harmful projects like the Keystone XL pipeline.”

UPDATE: Late Tuesday, the State Department announced the environmental review wouldn't be completed in the first quarter of 2013, so no decision could be made before April 1, at the earliest. 

Young people have taken a leading hand in fighting approval of the Keystone pipeline, and activists stormed TransCanada offices across the country earlier this month.

Congressional Progressives: Abolish the Debt Ceiling


Democratic Representative Keith Ellison and five others are sponsoring the Full Faith and Credit Act. (AP Photo/Haraz N. Ghanbari).

By Nation DC intern Anna Simonton

As the country barrels towards a possible default on its debt, members of the Congressional Progressive Caucus announced this week that they are introducing legislation to eliminate the federal debt ceiling. Representatives Jerrold Nadler, Hank Johnson, Jim Moran, Jan Schakowsky, Keith Ellison and Peter Welch are co-sponsoring the Full Faith and Credit Act of 2013, which would abolish the anachronistic debt ceiling and prevent future gamesmanship over the Treasury’s ability to pay the country’s bills.

The measure was originally introduced in 2011 after the last battle over the debt ceiling resulted in Standard and Poor’s downgrading of the US credit rating for the first time in history. The bill was referred to the House Committee on Ways and Means, but did not go any further in the Republican Congress.

As Congress approaches the borrowing limit, which Geithner says will be reached sometime in February or March, they’re giving it another shot.

Nadler painted a grim picture of what the debt ceiling hath wrought so far: “Even as we stand here, our Republican colleagues are visibly gearing up for battle—a battle of wills against Democrats and President Obama with stakes so high, the entire economy may hang in the balance.”

Each representative reiterated the dangerous consequences in store, should Congress fail to extend the debt limit, thereby forfeiting the government's ability to make payments of any kind. One result, which Republican Tom Coburn recently called “a wonderful experiment,” would be a government shutdown.

Representative Johnson echoed statements Obama made in a Monday news conference, by listing the sectors of society that would be affected. Social security recipients, troops and veterans, small businesses contracting with the government, and air traffic controllers are among the many that would see immediate reductions, or even discontinuation of their paychecks.

The government would also be unable to pay its creditors, which would lead to the graver consequence: a default on the national debt. Defaulting would surely result in a further downgrade of the American credit rating and an increase in interest rates that would have major ramifications in the world economy.

Historically, raising the debt ceiling has been a mere formality. It was established in 1939, based on amendments to the Second Liberty Bond Act of 1917, in order to consolidate federal debts and allow the US Treasury more flexibility to reduce interest costs. The debt limit does not dictate how Congress decides to spend money; rather, Congress votes on spending and then increases the debt ceiling as necessary. Since its inception, Congress has raised the debt ceiling as a matter of routine at least once during almost every administration.

“The debt ceiling was raised seven times during the George W. Bush administration with no great battles and no threats of economic chaos,” Nadler explained. “Now that we have a Democratic president, the Republicans have chosen to exploit the routine necessity of raising the debt ceiling as a means of blackmailing the American people in order to impose an extremist agenda.”

By refusing to vote for a debt limit increase unless Democrats agree to major spending cuts, Republicans are rhetorically linking the two issues, creating the implication that increasing the debt ceiling is an example of big-government Democrats wanting to borrow more money to do more spending.

“Raising the debt ceiling does not allow one penny in new spending,” Johnson explained. “It simply allows the government to pay the bills for spending that Congress has already authorized.… I don’t think anyone here denies that the national deficit is unsustainable over the long-term, but to hold the nation and the economy hostage is ridiculous, and it’s no way to responsibly govern. Ironically, these guerilla tactics would probably increase our deficit by sending our economy back into a recession and increasing interest rates.”

Unlike 2011, however, it’s not just congressional progressives pushing for an end to the debt ceiling. Alan Simpson may not care if Social Security benefits are stalled, seeing as he once likened the program to “a milk cow with 310 million tits,” but yesterday he told a CNBC reporter that “it would be a grave mistake to use the debate on the debt ceiling to get President Obama to agree to spending cuts.”

Newt Gingrich, interviewed yesterday on CBS This Morning, called Republicans’ position on the debt ceiling “a threat they can’t sustain.” Even Americans for Prosperity, a conservative lobbying group backed by the Koch brothers, has weighed in, advising Republican leaders to focus on the issue of sequestration instead.

Obama Goes Big on Gun Control


President Obama speaks at the White House alongside Vice President Biden on January 16, 2012, about a new push to control gun violence. Credit: Reuters/Larry Downing.

One month and two days after the shootings in Newtown, the White House unveiled a broad strategic plan for reducing gun violence—and unlike too many other moments in his presidency, Obama went big. The policy proposals are ambitious, as was the presidential rhetoric used to ask for them.

The major features of the plan include:

An assault weapons ban: “Weapons designed for the theater of war have no place in a movie theater,” Obama said, in an obvious reference to the seventy-one people shot in Aurora, Colorado, this summer, while noting that Ronald Reagan also favored such a ban. Obama asked Congress to pass another assault weapons ban—the last one expired in 2004—and to close the loopholes that existed last time. Senator Dianne Feinstein’s legislation is a near-certain vehicle for this proposal.

Ban on high-capacity magazines: Obama proposes capping magazine clips at ten bullets, which is also a feature of Feinstein’s bill.

Universal background checks: Obama noted that 40 percent of the gun sales in America are conducted “privately,” and thus buyers are not subject to background checks. The White House flags this as the “single most important thing we can do to prevent gun violence.” Obama asked Congress to not only close the gun show loophole but require background checks for all gun sales, with narrow exceptions for transfers between family members and temporary transfers for hunting purposes.

Ban armor-piercing bullets: This is something the law enforcement community is strongly behind—police don’t want bullets that can break through their vests being fired at them. Obama wants Congress to ban not only the sale of these bullets, but also ownership and transfer—in other words, a total ban. It’s a good policy idea, but also one that focuses the public debate on some of the truly absurd weapons Americans are allowed to easily obtain.

Fund police officers: Obama wants Congress to pass $4 billion to fund police enforcement around the country. This is a slight (very slight) paean to the NRA proposal to put armed officers in every school in America, but also dovetails with the administration’s long-standing pleas for Congress to fund public sector employment in the cash-strapped states. Similarly, Obama wants Congress to fund 1,000 new school counselors and $50 million spent on an anti-bullying initiative.

Obama also signed twenty-three executive orders on gun control, beyond what he’s asking Congress for. The highlights include directives to state health programs to make sure there is parity between mental and physical health services under Medicaid; a raft of orders designed to beef up compliance with the FBI’s criminal background check system; and increased law enforcement of existing gun laws.

Crucially, Obama will also nominate a permanent head of the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms, which has been without even a temporary chief since 2006 and without a permanent one since 1970. That will reportedly be Byron Todd Jones, who is already at the agency.

The White House unveiling was greeted with fulsome praise from gun control advocates. “This profoundly historic initiative puts the full moral and political weight of the presidency behind strong and specific measures to reduce gun violence,” said Senator Richard Blumenthal of Connecticut in a statement. “It is presidential leadership at its best and boldest.”

Progressives also seemed pleased, not only because of the policy proposals but because the president was going all-in on a fight. “We applaud the White House plan to think big and take bold action against gun killings,” said Stephanie Taylor, co-founder of the Progressive Change Campaign Committee—an outfit not known for praising Obama. “The PCCC is all in for this fight, investing time and money in Republican and Democratic districts until Congress passes major gun legislation that includes an assault weapons ban.”

In Congress, the reaction from Republican leadership was muted—for now, anyhow. House Speaker John Boehner’s office put a noncommittal, two-sentence response: “House committees of jurisdiction will review these recommendations. And if the Senate passes a bill, we will also take a look at that.”

Rank-and-file members, however—including some key 2016 figures—were not as demure. Senator Marco Rubio appeared on right-wing talk radio moments before Obama spoke and slammed the new initiative as “completely misplaced.”

“If you’re going to pass a bunch of laws that are not going to work but are going to infringe on the Second Amendment right of law-abiding citizens, you’re going to have a problem with that,” Rubio said. (Talk among constitutional infringement is heating up in the far-right corners of the political world: the governor of Mississippi today called for measures to combat “this overreaching and anti-constitutional violation of our rights as American citizens.”)

I detect a small whiff of impeachment threat from Rubio, something one Republican member of the House has already openly threatened. And Representative Bob Goodlatte, who essentially carries the banner for the NRA in the House, wouldn’t rule it out on C-SPAN this morning.

Meanwhile, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi endorsed Obama’s proposal in a statement, and included a crucial and explicit endorsement of the assault weapons ban.

Representative Mike Thompson, however, who is tasked to lead the gun violence task force set up by House Democrats, wasn’t as fully committal. He released a positive statement, but one that didn’t explicitly endorse all of Obama’s recommendations. (As we noted yesterday, Thompson has been edging away from an assault weapons ban.)

“During the next several weeks our task force will examine the president’s proposals and the proposals of others,” Thompson’s statement said. “We will continue meeting with stakeholders on every side of this issue. And we will develop a comprehensive set of policy proposals that both respect peoples’ Second Amendment rights and help keep our communities safe from gun violence.”

Harry Reid, is also waffling on an assault weapons ban, put out a similar statement that said, “I thank the president’s task force for its thoughtful recommendations,” and committed that the Senate would consider legislation soon, but endorsed no particular aspect of the plan—notably not endorsing the assault weapons ban. 

The Congressional battles are yet to come, but for now, it will be interesting to see how the public responds to Obama’s announcement. He closed by saying this:

This is the land of the free, and it always will be. As Americans, we are endowed by our Creator with certain inalienable rights that no man or government can take away from us.

But we’ve also long recognized, as our Founders recognized, that with rights come responsibilities. Along with our freedom to live our lives as we will comes an obligation to allow others to do the same. We don’t live in isolation. We live in a society, a government of, and by, and for the people. We are responsible for each other. The right to worship freely and safely, that right was denied to Sikhs in Oak Creek, Wisconsin. The right to assemble peaceably, that right was denied shoppers in Clackamas, Oregon, and moviegoers in Aurora, Colorado.

That most fundamental set of rights to life and liberty and the pursuit of happiness—fundamental rights that were denied to college students at Virginia Tech, and high school students at Columbine, and elementary school students in Newtown, and kids on street corners in Chicago on too frequent a basis to tolerate, and all the families who’ve never imagined that they’d lose a loved one to a bullet—those rights are at stake. We’re responsible.

When I visited Newtown last month, I spent some private time with many of the families who lost their children that day. And one was the family of Grace McDonald. Grace’s parents are here. Grace was 7 years old when she was struck down—just a gorgeous, caring, joyful little girl. I’m told she loved pink. She loved the beach. She dreamed of becoming a painter.

And so just before I left, Chris, her father, gave me one of her paintings, and I hung it in my private study just off the Oval Office. And every time I look at that painting, I think about Grace. And I think about the life that she lived and the life that lay ahead of her, and most of all, I think about how, when it comes to protecting the most vulnerable among us, we must act now—for Grace. For the twenty-five other innocent children and devoted educators who had so much left to give. For the men and women in big cities and small towns who fall victim to senseless violence each and every day. For all the Americans who are counting on us to keep them safe from harm. Let’s do the right thing. Let’s do the right thing for them, and for this country that we love so much.

That matched, in my opinion, any other moment in his presidency in terms of powerful and emotional rhetoric. The public is quickly getting behind gun control, according to polls, and how durable that momentum is will hold the real key to the messy gun control debate that lies ahead in Washington.

Does this mark the emergence of a bold new Obama? In his latest post, Rick Perlstein criticized “President Groundhog Day” for being afraid of his own shadow when it comes to negotiating with Republicans.

Why Are Some Leading Dems Getting Soft on an Assault Weapons Ban?


Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada speaks to reporters following the Democratic policy luncheon on Capitol Hill in Washington. (AP Photo/Susan Walsh, File)

In the wake of the horrific mass shooting in Newtown, Connecticut, support for re-banning assault weapons grew exponentially inside and outside of the Beltway. It's only natural when an AR-15 is used to slaughter twenty schoolchildren and six educators, only months after another was used to shoot seventy-one people inside a movie theater.

Yesterday, Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel—seen as recently as 2006 recruiting pro-gun Democrats to run in House races—said that Newtown was a “tipping point, a galvanization for action.” He’s now calling for an assault weapons ban, expanded background checks, and is ordering Chicago municipal pension funds to divest from all gun manufacturers.

Indeed, it was a tipping point. Five days after the shootings, President Obama stood in the White House briefing room and explicitly called for another assault weapons ban, and Vice President Joe Biden is expected to recommend one this week. Senator Dianne Feinstein announced she’d introduce a strong bill in the Senate, and all the pieces looked to be in place.

But in the past twenty-four hours, there have been disturbing signs of pre-emptive surrender by key Democrats on the assault weapons ban.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid told a PBS affiliate in Las Vegas that he didn’t think the assault weapons ban could pass the House, and thus he wanted would “focus” on what could. His comments echoed many pro-gun talking points about Hollywood and violent video games, and Reid openly tried to throw cold water on the gun-control movement:

“We have too much violence in our society, and it’s not just from guns. It’s from a lot of stuff. And I think we should take a look at TV, movies, video games and weapons. And I hope that everyone will just be careful and cautious. […]

“Let’s just look at everything. I don’t think we need to point to anything now,” he said. “We need to be very cool and cautious. […]

“I think that the American people want us to be very cautious what we do. I think they want us to do things that are logical, smart, and make the country safer, not just be doing things that get a headline in a newspaper.”

On Monday, Representative Mike Thompson—appointed by House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi to head the House’s gun violence prevention task force—also signaled surrender on the assault weapons ban, according to Politico:

Rep. Mike Thompson (D-Calif.), the chairman of the House Democrats’ gun violence task force, said the magazine ban and universal registration requirement would be far more effective than an assault weapons ban without the political cost.

“Probably the most recognizable thing you can say in this debate is ban assault weapons,” Thompson said. “But the other two issues” – forbidding high-capacity ammunition magazines and requiring universal registration for gun purchases – “those two things have more impact on making our neighborhoods safe than everything else combined. Anytime you try and prohibit what kind of gun people has it generates some concern.”

It’s not that Reid and Thompson are necessarily wrong in their political calculus—maybe an assault weapons ban can’t pass the House.

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But publicly dooming the effort before it starts is self-enforcing, and repeats a Democratic proclivity that has frustrated progressives to no end: heading into negotiations and votes with a pre-compromised position.

Americans favor an assault weapons ban 58-39, according to an ABC/Washington Post poll released Monday. The president is about to stick his neck out and propose it, and then push for it in the weeks to come. Moreover, as Thompson and Reid both correctly noted, it’s the headline-grabbing issue here: rampages with assault weapons are what is driving the momentum on gun control.

Democrats would naturally be wise to push forward aggressively on the ban, as they have mostly done up to this point. If they fail, they fail. At least they’d likely be able to wrest more concessions from the GOP on background checks and high-capacity magazine bans during the legislative battle, and potentially force Republicans into a difficult vote where they would effectively be supporting military style weapons on the street.

Yet, it appears Reid and Thompson—absolutely key figures in the legislative battles in the Senate and House respectively—want to drop the assault weapons ban from the legislative agenda. It’s not yet clear that they will, but even signaling a lack of confidence is damaging to both the legislative prospects for meaningful gun control, and for public attitudes and activist motivation. And it’s not the debate demanded by what happened in Newtown.

For more on the shift in gun control rhetoric to the left, including Rahm Emanuel's efforts to fight gun violence, see George Zornick's previous blog post.

Big Week for Gun Control, and the Debate Is Moving Left

Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel (pictured when he was White House Chief of Staff) will order Chicago pension funds to divest from all gun manufacturing. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert.)

Search around the Center for American Progress website for position papers or blog posts on gun control pre-2012. You won’t find much. But Monday morning in downtown Washington—emblematic of the huge post-Newtown shift in the gun control debate—the influential center-left think tank* released a sweeping new set of gun control proposals that set a clear pro-reform benchmark for the debate over how to reduce gun violence.

The CAP plan calls for an expanded background check system in which every gun sold in America would subject the buyer to a background check; assault weapon and high-capacity magazine bans; and improved federal research into gun violence and better enforcement of gun laws. Vice President Joe Biden will announce his task force’s plan tomorrow, and it will be politically hard to propose significantly less than what’s in the CAP plan.

The proposals were rolled out at an event featuring CAP president Neera Tanden, Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel and Representative Mike Thompson, chair of the House gun control task force.

Emanuel also made some big news during the event: he announced that he will order all Chicago municipal pension funds to divest from any investments that can be tied to gun manufacturers—and not just the makers of assault weapons but all guns. He plans to “lead a charge among all mayors” to follow suit.

You can read the full details here, but highlights of the CAP plan include:

  • A background check system that would touch every sale in America, public and private, with narrow exemptions for transfers between family members.

  • Getting tough on states that don’t send necessary information on gun buyers into the FBI background check system. Ten states “have failed to provide any mental health records to the National Instant Criminal Background Check System.”

  • An assault weapons ban. The proposals explicitly endorse the legislation outlined by Senator Dianne Feinstein, though it also contains an alternative of new licensing and transfer restrictions, which would be a disappointing compromise.

  • A total ban of ammunition clips with more than ten bullets.

  • Stopping the congressional mandates limiting the use of taxpayer money for federal research into gun violence, crime patterns, and illegal transactions.

  • Absorb the ATF into the FBI, to insulate it from congressional under-funding and interference with White House appointments to the agency.

The plan calls for a healthy mix of both legislative and executive action. At the unveiling this morning, Thompson and Emanuel played subtle roles as good cop and bad cop.

Thompson, from a rural California district, spoke often about compromise and common ground. “We need to be smart on this and focus on what we can do,” he said.

Thompson ticked off areas where he thinks Democrats and Republicans in the House can agree: on stronger background checks, better mental health screenings and even high-capacity magazine bans. Thompson noted that as a hunter, he can keep only three shotgun shells loaded while duck hunting—meaning that, in practical effect, the government enforces “more protection for ducks than for citizens.”

Thompson has backed an assault weapons ban, but perhaps in a worrying sign for reformers, he did not spend any real time advocating for it this morning. Twice, he left it off a list of things he thought the House could agree on.

This is not necessarily an inaccurate assessment. But Emanuel indirectly laid out a path around that obstacle. He strongly advocated starting the legislative process in the Senate, where a stronger bill can be produced. (While Emanuel didn’t dive into the specifics, a handful of moderate Democrats plus a very small number of Republicans could almost certainly produce a more pro-reform bill than anything agreed to by the Republican majority in the House—and that’s assuming there’s no filibuster reform. If only fifty-one votes are needed, the bill will be even stronger).

Then, Emanuel said, with a tough Senate bill on the table, reformers can put “the ultimate pressure on the House.” The public is strongly behind an assault weapons ban and better background checks, and Emanuel believes once the Senate passes a bill, reformers can “put the burner up” and try to force the House to go along.

Emanuel is no stranger to these debates. He served as Bill Clinton’s chief of staff during the 1993 and 1994 battles over the Brady gun laws and then the assault weapons ban, which was part of a larger crime bill.

He also advised that, as gun control reformers did in 1994, it’s helpful to show the public what assault weapons look like during press conferences—display the military-looking weapons prominently—and then put uniformed police officers front and center to talk about the dangerous presence of those guns on the street.

Once the bill is passed, Emanuel said it’s crucial for members of Congress to stand behind it to avoid self-enforcing a perception that gun control is a political liability. “When the passage comes,” he said, “don’t everybody run around or run away.”

* Full disclosure, I was employed by CAP from August 2010 until April 2011 as a ThinkProgress blogger.

Gun control in the United States was heavily influenced by the NRA and Republican shift toward self-protection and vigilanteism. What does the future hold? George Zornick trades thoughts with fellow Nation bloggers Rick Perlstein and Bryce Covert on the latest Nation Conversations podcast.

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