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Christopher Hayes

Christopher Hayes

Nation editor-at-large and host of MSNBC’s All In with Chris Hayes.

About Those F-22s

Matt Yglesias, Matt Duss, and Robert Farley have all done a great job of critiquing this embarrassing crush note to the F-22 in the latest Atlantic.

But since I did some reporting on this for last week's column (behind the sub-wall), I figured I'd point out something that hasn't attracted the requisite amount of attention:

The first concrete test of the strength of the military lobby and its allies in Congress is the battle over the fate of the F-22 Raptor fighter jet. Military experts agree that the F-22 is outdated and unnecessary. As Gates has noted, not a single F-22 mission had been flown in either of the current wars.

...

Despite the encouraging rhetoric from the administration, Lockheed Martin won the first round in December, when Gates included funding for four additional F-22s in a draft of the upcoming war supplemental.

This is really outrageous. The supplemental hasn't been sent to the hill yet, but the draft version contains $600 million for four planes that have, by everyone's admission nothing to do with the ongoing wars. I'm just waiting for all those Republicans who railed against projects in the stimulus that didn't belong there to get worked up about these four F-22's.

A Recap of Last Week's Action on the Hill

Courtesy of Greg Kaufmann:

"There are three Republicans in the Senate who are writing this policy," Democratic Rep. Peter DeFazio complained about the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act. "They are more powerful than the president of the United States and the Congress combined."

The bill finally passed in the Senate on Friday night when Sen. Sherrod Brown flew in after his mother's memorial service to cast the needed 60th vote. So what exactly did Sen. Collins deign to allow in it?

For a look at all spending items, click here. Some notable provisions: $90 billion added to Medicaid funding; state aid is $54 billion; $7 billion in broadband investment including rural and poor areas; $13 billion towards public housing; $20 billion for electronic medical records; $5 billion for weatherization; $500 million for green jobs training; $11 billion for the energy grid; $6.3 billion for state energy programs; $4.5 billion for green renovation of federal buildings; $4 billion in renewable energy loan guarantees; $100 billion in new funding for education -- including $17 billion to Pell grants; $2.1 billion for Head Start; $20 billion increase for food stamps; $50 billion for transportation, including $9 billion for Amtrak/high-speed rail; $2 billion for affordable community health centers.

Treasury Secretary Geithner made his big debut… and was panned. His description of the new and improved TARP plan was short on details and long on wind. Some chief complaints: how will the Administration get private investors to purchase $1 trillion of these impossible to price toxic assets from banks? Also, no details still on the $50 billion plan for foreclosure relief. Rep. Barney Frank said it's taking too long and he's concerned that $50 billion won't cut it. At a Budget Committee hearing Senate Senator Bernie Sanders asked Geithner why the Wall Street execs receiving the bailout funds aren't being replaced with new leadership instead of receiving bonuses?

Frank also held a hearing with eight bank CEOs to find out what they did with $165 billion in TARP loot. The machers basically said they were doing exactly what they are supposed to do (see Sanders above). Frank asked them to cease foreclosures for three weeks until Geithner announces the new plan -- Friday JP Morgan Chase sent him a letter saying they would.

In confirmation news: Judd Gregg… good riddance. The guy didn't realize he might have some policy differences with a Democratic President? Not exactly ahead-of-the-curve kind of thinking you want in a Commerce Secretary…. Hilda Solis' nomination was finally approved out of committee after an intense push by labor. A vote on the Senate floor is expected soon and then we will have something to cheer loudly about -- in contrast to the confirmation of Former Raytheon exec and lobbyist William Lynn as Deputy Defense Secretary…. Leon Panetta was confirmed to head the CIA after all the hype about his lack of experience…. …

Other news -- yikes -- the Obama Administration invoked the state secrets privilege in a rendition case. Senators Feingold, Leahy and Specter introduced legislation providing guidance to the courts on this issue….

Senators Dorgan and Bayh challenged the conclusions of an Army investigation into the exposure in Iraq of hundreds of US soldiersto the carcinogen sodium dichromate. They want a more thorough investigation and accountability -- including exploring the possibility of criminal negligence on the part of disastrous contractor KBR.

In Congressional Progressive Caucus news… It was a big week for caucus founder Sen. Sanders and his sleepless staff: he fought for $500 million for green job training in the stimulus which was repeatedly threatened; included an amendment so firms receiving TARP money stop laying off workers to hire cheaper guest workers; wrote Fed Chairman Bernanke asking him to identify the recipients and terms of more than $2 trillion in emergency loans; and fought hard for the health center funding (look for him to also introduce major legislation with 20 cosponsors to further expand these needed primary care facilities)…CPC co-chair Congressman Raúl Grijalva asked President Obama to suspend the border fence construction… and Congressman Frank and the Caucus set the date for the Capitol Hill Forum on Reasonable Defense Spending -- Tuesday, Feb. 24 -- open to the public. Stay tuned for details.

Finally, Pelosi and Hoyer announced there will be no pay raise for members this year. They make at least $174,000 so they should be all right.

Stimulus Deal Reached

So it looks like the House and Senate have struck a deal on the stimulus package. The final figure is $789 billion, which, as many economists have argued is almost certainly too little.

Somewhat surprisingly, the number is smaller than both the House and Senate bills, and details are still a bit unclear about what was cut and/or put back in. From what I'm hearing some of the school construction money and a bit of the state fiscal aid made it back in, while the obscene $15,000 per person new home purchase tax credit was scaled back as were some of the Obama tax cuts.

I'm very curious to see if the House negotiators managed to get the green renovation of federal buildings put back in because that was one of the single most sensible items in the whole bill and Obama himself made a spirited and convincing case for keeping it in at his press conference on Monday night.

I haven't seen the final bill, but based on what I've heard, I'd give it something like a B-. That said, the clock really is ticking and it is far, far, far better than nothing. There's a lot in this bill to be genuinely enthused about, but I'm going to try to comb through more of the details before reporting.

UPDATE: According to the Times, the AMT fix stays in the bill, which is crap. Let me associate myself with the remarks of the gentleman from Iowa

Mr. Harkin said he was particularly frustrated by the money being spent on fixing the alternative minimum tax. "It's about 9 percent of the whole bill," he said, "which we were going to do later this year in a tax bill. Why is it in there? It has nothing to do with stimulus. It has nothing to do with recovery. This makes no sense whatsoever."

Big Week Ahead on Capitol Hill

Crunch time on Capitol hill this week. Greg Kaufmann provides the low-down:

Recovery and TARP -- those are the cable news networks go-to issues this week….Dems want the recovery bill on the President's desk on Friday before a 10-day recess. But they have a tough road ahead after the Senate approves its version on Tuesday. Then come negotiations with the House -- and with the Senate providing $40 billion less in aid to cash-strapped states, $20 billion less in school infrastructure spending, and $100 billion more in tax cuts -- a fight looms. The Washington Post reports that President Obama "is interested in restoring support" for the education and state aid items. He's got a prime-time 8 PM news conference tonight -- maybe he'll reveal the non-flatearther Republicans that make him think he can restore those vital investments and still get 60 votes.

Timothy "Taxes" Geithner will explain the new TARP plan for the next $350B on Tuesday. Supposedly $50 to $100 billion will go towards helping homeowners, but according to the Post Administration sources say that part of the plan is "highly fluid" -- which is highly disconcerting. Geithner is also expected to ask for MORE money to get the banks lending more, but on Meet the Press Congressman Barney Frank said, "If they haven't been able to get the banks to lend more, restrict excessive compensation and help deal with foreclosure in a reasonable way, they're not going to get [more money]."

Speaking of Frank, his Financial Services Committee is holding a must-see hearing on Wednesday on how the first round of TARP funds were used. He's bringing in the CEOs of Goldman, Citi, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, JP Morgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Mellon, and State Street and it should be a hoot to watch. Frank told Meet the Press: "These are eight very highly paid people…. What is it that you do, because you get a bonus, that you wouldn't otherwise do? I want to know, like, if they didn't get a bonus, would they knock off early on Wednesday?" Fed Chairman Bernanke will also testify on Tuesday "on the Fed's $1.2 trillion loans to banks, investment banks, and foreign central banks since September," according to CongressDaily.

Other news: Panetta should get confirmed this week… there will be a big push to do the same for Hilda Solis… Rep. John Dingell will be honored as the longest-serving House member in history…. there are reports Democrats might introduce card check legislation in the House -- but I wouldn't count on it -- not with recovery bill and Solis votes pending ….

Other hearings: the guy you don't want to be -- Peanut Corp. of America President Stewart Parnell testifying on the salmonella outbreak linked to his plant…. The House Armed Services Committee takes up Strategy in Iraq and Afghanistan…. and a Budget Committee hearing on Fighting Hunger and Investing in Children on Thursday.

Last Week on the Hill

From Greg Kaufmann:

This Week in Congress

Republicans continued to fight with no holds barred to defend a failed ideology. Thirty-six out of 41 Republican Senatorsvoted for an amendment that would have stripped the Recovery bill of ALL spending. Congressman Barney Frank said, "If anything can persuade Congressional Republicans to stop their hyper partisan sniping at the recovery package these disastrous employment numbers should be it."(Call your Senators -- tell them to pass the Recovery bill including $500 million for the Green Jobs Act.)

President Obama capped exec pay at $500,000 for TARP firms. Senators Bernie Sanders and Claire McCaskill passed their amendment which set maximum compensation at $400,000. The TARP Congressional Oversight board -- led by Elizabeth Warren -- said that the Treasury overpaid by $78 billion for the assets it received in exchange for $254 billion in bailout money. Warren testified that then-Secretary Paulson had said that the assets received were about equal to the monies given to the banks. Not so. "The Treasury paid substantially more for the assets… than their then-current market value," Warren said.

Obama signed the SCHIP bill to insure a total of 11 million kids. Congressman Raúl Grijalva, co-chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus (CPC), told me: "This bill represents a major step forward by providing coverage to 4.1 million children who are currently uninsured. [But] the United States is the only developed nation in the world that does not provide basic health care for all children, and there are 4.5 million kids who are still uninsured. The CPC will renew our push to cover all uninsured children."

Confirmation hearings: Holder is in… Daschle a debacle…. and Hilda Solis is on hold.

Looking for extra billions? The non-partisan Commission on Wartime Contracting held its first hearing and Senator Jim Webb testified that he would get it subpoena power if needed. The Commission's broad mandate includes identifying "waste, fraud and abuse, and ensuring accountability for those responsible."

Under the radar: Congressman Frank announced that he and the CPC will host a half-day forum on Reasonable Defense Spending on February 24. Stay tuned for details…. And CPC vice chair, Congresswoman Mazie Hirono, co-sponsored legislation to establish a process for the formation of a Native Hawaiian government that could negotiate with the state and federal government on behalf of Hawaii's indigenous people.

What the Stimulus Bill is For

Joe Klein's got a wise post about the messiness surrounding the stimulus bill, most of which is par for the course for legislation of this size. I've got many beefs with the legislation, not the least of which is the criminal under-funding of public transit. Oh, and also this braindead, Reinflate The Housing Bubble amendment that passed the senate by the voice vote. But if I were a member of Congress I'd vote for the bill, proudly. Fundamentally, we're teetering on the brink of a deflationary spiral, and without a serious and large commitment of federal dollars we're going to a) have a lot of people needlessly suffer b) be mired in a prolonged recession.

I think part of what's gotten lost in the carping from Republicans is that the bill has three objectives:

1) Immediately boost demand and create jobs

2) Make investments that will increase the productive capacity of theUS economy in the long-run

3) Lessen the misery of those caught in the black hole ofunemployment, declining incomes, bankruptcy, etc...

Any amount of money the government spends is going to be stimulus. There's a huge range to how stimulative that spending will be. But here's the problem! We need a massive amount of spending to close the output gap and there's not enough places to spend that money in the "top tier" of effectiveness, vis a vis the multiplier. So we have a range of items, that vary in just how stimulative they are. There's also a tension between short-term stimulus and long-term investment. It might be super stimulative to enact Keynes famous thought experiment with the bank notes in the buried bottles, but obviously that's not a a very good long-term investment. It might take longer and create fewer jobs at the margin to build out broadband, but when it's done you have internet in rural areas as opposed to a whole lot of improvised bottle-mines dotting the countryside.

As a percentage of the total, almost everything in the bill fits one of those criteria. The stuff that the right-wing Republicans have zeroed in on tend to be stuff in either the second or third category. But remember these are people that fundamentally don't believe in the social safety net. As Josh Marshall points out 36 of 41 senator voted yesterday to strip all spending from the bill. That's policy malpractice. And there's no reason to think that people that cast a vote like that have much productive to offer in negotiating the final shape of the legislation.

Will Geithner and Summers Destroy the US Economy?

That's more or less what the usually understated Yves Smith says today about the preview of the Obama TARP plan, "Team Obama is taking the cowardly approach of distributing the costs among the most disenfranchised group in the process, namely the taxpayer, when there far more obvious and logical groups to take the hits."

It's not just Smith. I got an email from a good friend at a hedge fund last week. He's a *very* moderate guy, and he had this to say:

The one thing that I disagree on is that for all the talk of making Tarp II diff from Tarp I, I don't really see it happening. An aggregator bank still just takes bad assets from a bank in exchange for capital. If you pay market, the banks will be insolvent, so they won't participate. If you pay above market, you're basically just injecting capital in to the banks, which is what they did in Tarp I. Why are they scared of nationalizing? Citi is an insolvent bank - wipe the equity, take the company, remove the bad assets, put the remaining good company back in to the public markets, repeat for the next insolvent bank. If they try to let a Citi (or maybe evan a BofA) earn their way out of this we will end up with huge parts of the banking system in zombie mode, a la Japan. That would be very bad and will only prolong the pain.

This is the where the rubber of necessity hits the road of The New Politics. In order to save the American economy, it's increasingly clear we need to kill off some banks. In words of one former Wall Streeter, play "good bank, bad bank." But playing "bad bank" means taking on Wall Street's power in a concerted way. This is not a question of technical merits of policy, it's a matter of taking on entrenched power. Unless the Obama WH can find it within itself to do it, we may all be very, very screwed.

Judd Gregg and Lynching

My intern Laura Dean makes a disturbing catch:

Judd Gregg's been hailed as a "fresh independent voice," who will make it more difficult for the GOP to dig in their heels to block legislation now that they have one of their own on the inside. But for a man who seems like a moderate in some respects, one wonders why in 2005, when 89 members of the Senate signed an apology for not passing an anti-lynching law-- an apology with no policy implications at that-- he and then fellow New Hampshire Senator John Sununu, refused to sign. At the time people speculated that with no African-American constituency to speak of, there was no particular incentive (aside from the glaring moral one!), to do so. His fellow dissenters, not surprisingly mostly Southern Republicans, are listed on the DailyKos wall of shame. Sometimes 'sorry' is the hardest word to say, but in this case, it should have been his easiest.

Um, what's up with that?

What to Expect This Week on the Hill

From Greg Kaufmann:

The Senate takes up the Recovery bill this week. It passed with no Republican support in the House but will need a couple Senators to cross the Grand Obstructionist Party line in order to overcome a possible filibuster.

The Senate will also confirm Eric Holder as Attorney General. In contrast, Tom Daschle faces an uncertain future as the Senate Finance Committee holds a closed-door meeting today on his now delayed confirmation hearings. On Thursday the Senate Intelligence Committee holds a hearing for CIA Director nominee, Leon Panetta -- could be a tough one but Panetta will likely be confirmed.

Tomorrow Senator Barbara Boxer will outline her legislation for a cap and trade system for CO2 emissions -- one of three key steps Al Gore has outlined as immediately necessary to begin turning climate change around.

The House will vote on the Senate version of the SCHIP bill to insure 11 million kids (an increase of 4 million from current enrollment).

On Wednesday Chairman Barney Frank's Financial Services Committee will take up his bill "to promote bank liquidity and lending through deposit insurance, the HOPE for Homeowners Program, and other enhancements" (that's seriously the title). The Hope program has fallen a tad shy of the 300,000 homeowners it was supposed to help, instead assisting "a few hundred," according to CongressDaily.

On Thursday House Democrats take their annual three-day retreat to Williamsburg. Strange time for a short workweek.

Some cool and important hearings this week…. Today the Commission on Wartime Contracting in Iraq and Afghanistan -- inspired by the Truman Commission -- holds its first hearing on improving wartime contracting. The Commission is also charged with identifying fraud and holding those responsible accountable.

Tomorrow the Senate Banking Committee holds a hearing on "modernizing the US financial regulatory system." (The Financial Services Roundtable has unveiled its plan for "streamlining" oversight of banks. We need to make sure those lobbyists don't win out.) And on Thursday they will hold a hearing on TARP oversight -- hopefully someone will push Sen. Bernie Sander's idea of expanding the Oversight Panel's charge to include an investigation into why this financial crisis occurred in the first place.

Finally, Progressive Caucus member and Tennessee Congressman Steve Cohen will chair the House Commercial and Administrative Law Subcommittee hearing on "Midnight Rulemaking: Shedding Some Light" -- crucial as we continue to undue the Bush legacy.

What Happened in Congress This Week

From correspondent Greg Kaufmann a look back at last week on the Hill:

Here are the big items this week: the Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay Act that reverses the terrible anti-equal pay decision by the Supreme Court became the first bill President Obama signed into law. Just 5 Republican Senators supported it and 3 House Republicans.

The House also passed its version of the Recovery (stimulus) bill with ZERO Republican support. Former Vice President Gore warned that the "outstanding" green provisions in the House bill were muscled out in the Senate Finance Committee version, so we'll have to stay tuned on that front.

The Senate passed its Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP) bill expanding health care to cover 11 million children. It targets kids in families earning too much to qualify for Medicaid but who can't afford private insurance. The House had already approved its version and the President is expected to sign the final bill soon. (Again, Republicans haven't seemed to have gotten the memo about the new "post-partisan" era. Only 9 Republican Senators supported it.) Congressional Progressive Caucus members will continue to push for an additional $15 billion to cover the remaining 4-5 million kids who still will not be covered.

One thing about CHIP you probably don't know is that Senator Ben Cardin succeeded in a fight he's taken on since the death of a twelve year old from a brain infection caused by a tooth abscess a couple years ago. Yesterday Cardin got the guaranteed dental benefit he's been working for. (Katrina vanden Heuvel has also written about this issue here and here.)

The House Judiciary Committee approved legislation to give bankruptcy judges the power to modify mortgages. Chairman John Conyers included provisions Citigroup had agreed to, but he refused to limit the measure to subprime mortgages like the Republicans and their surviving base -- the banking industry -- wanted.

In the confirmation hearings arena, Tim Geithner was confirmed. Eric Holder made it out of committee and will soon be confirmed. But, of course the nominee progressives are perhaps most excited about -- Congresswoman Hilda Solis for Labor Secretary -- is being held up by an anonymous Republican hold.

Under the radar… Senator Byron Dorgan, who chaired a hearing this summer examining the deaths of Staff Sgt. Ryan Maseth and 12 other US soldiers electrocuted on Army bases in Iraq, asked Defense Secretary Gates to meet with him, Senator Bob Casey and Maseth's mother to discuss the process the DoD intends to follow to guarantee accountability for any contractor misconduct. KBR faces possible negligent homicide charges.

Finally, Senator Bernie Sanders wrote a letter to Majority Leader Harry Reid demanding an investigation into the fiscal crisis -- how it started, who is responsible, and how to make sure it never happens again. Sanders wants the TARP Oversight Panel that oversees how monies are spent to expand its charge and have subpoena power.

Check here on Monday for news about the week ahead in Congress.

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