I'll update some untidy results as we all shake the cobwebs after a long night. NYT still has not called Florida, though Obama leads, but others have given it to him. Crucially, he is now up about 2% in the popular vote.
Wall Street Journal editorial page, which was wrong about everything, pouts, says Obama was just lucky, and blames Romney loss on 1) Sandy 2) John Roberts 3) Ben Bernanke. And now writes: "President Obama won one of the narrower re-elections in modern times Tuesday, eking out a second term with a fraction of his 7.3% margin of 2008, in a polarized country with the opposition GOP retaining and still dominating the House. Given that second Presidential terms are rarely better than the first, this is best described as the voters doubling down on hope over experience."
Yes, Obama really did win 303 or more electoral votes and Nate Silver was 100% correct–even down to Florida 50/50–as far as I can count, including the 2% edge in popular vote (many final polls had it tied, Rasmussen and Gallup had Romney #1). See his latenight wrap-up, in which he does NOT crow about it. He does observe that predictions about more self-ID Democrats, so crucial to polling, turned out right, allowing Obama to lose independent votes. Says he was heading out for a beer and would "unpack" a lot later. Ross Douthat admits that he overestimated the number of Repubs so out–so bow down to Nate, you clown.
Rep. Michele Bachmann, sad to say, seems to have won–by about 3000 votes out of 350,000 cast. Rep. Allen West trails but race in Florida has not yet been called. Sen. Jon Tester leads by 17,000 votes with 84% in. Heidi Heitkamp lead by 3000 votes in the Senate race in North Dakota with 100% but not called, maybe due to recount. If Dems win both they hold very nice 55-45 edge in new Senate.
Note: The first e-book on Obama-Romney race has been published–and it's mine! "Tricks, Lies and Videotape" covers contest right up to Sunday. Or bookmark and wait for update later today.