By any serious definition of the word, Republican super-lobbyist Jack Abramoff is a rat. His decision to enter guilty pleas Tuesday to three felony counts of defrauding his own clients merely added a personal acknowledgement of the fact to the official record. Frank Clemente, the director of Public Citizen’s Congress Watch, summed things up succinctly, and accurately, when he said Tuesday: “Make no mistake about it: Abramoff is a crook.”
In Washington, more so than in most places, it remains true that there is no honor among thieves — nor among rats.
So the notion that Abramoff will now rat out his former associates, including Republican members of the House and Senate, is not a particularly difficult one to comprehend — even for conservatives commentators who are generally unwilling to admit even the slightest signs of shakiness in the Republican infrastructure. Radio ranter Rush Limbaugh was already warning his listeners on Tuesday about the “A-bomb” that is expected to explode when Abramoff starts cooperating with Justice Department investigations of members of Congress. Limbaugh suggested that the scandal will become “a modern-day version of term limits” that potentially could do more damage to Republicans than the increasingly widespread public discontent with the unwavering support most GOP members of Congress have given to the Bush administration’s failed Iraq policies.
There is no question that the potential for damage to GOP political prospects from the Abramoff scandal — with its deliciously detailed evidence of bribery, influence peddling, pay-to-play politics and sweeping abuses of the public trust — is great. Between 2001 and 2004, close to 220 members of Congress collected more than $1.7 million in political contributions from Abramoff and the lobbyist’s associates and clients. More than 200 of those members still serve in the House, and the vast majority of them are Republicans.
But the difference between the potential that fallout from the scandal could loosen the GOP’s grip on the House and Senate and the reality of a transforming “throw-the-bums-out” vote in 2006 remains significant. While Clemente says that the scandal “is likely to take down a number of members of Congress and members of their staffs,” the precise number has yet to be established. And if it is limited merely to those members of Congress that Abramoff’s testimony places in the prosecutorial crosshairs, then both chambers could well remain in Republican hands.
To be sure, some of the members of Congress who have been most closely linked with Abramoff, a former elected chairman of the College Republicans who counts among his longtime associates people like Americans for Tax Reform founder Grover Norquist and former Christian Coalition chief Ralph Reed, will have a very hard time getting reelected — if they even choose to run.