Wednesday update: New NYT/Quinnipiac poll finds Obama widening lead in two key states, Ohio and Florida, plus the peripherals looks good. If he wins those two it’s a wrap. And the lead is now massive: 10 percent in Ohio and 9 percent in Florida. So is the enthusiasm gap, which once favored Romney. In Ohio, women now favor the president by 25 percent, and folks under 35 by 35 percent.
New Bloomberg poll gives Obama a clear 6 percent lead. GOPers now reduced to claiming that the all of the polls (except Rasmussen, which finds race even) are wrong—their samples biased toward Democrats. And Ross Douthat of NYT with a blog post in which he wishes, dreams, that we could just have an up or down vote on Obama and get him out of office—without the messiness of people having to consider Romney as an alternative.
Go here for a rundown of the past week of polling, day-by-day
Just when the Barack Obama bounce coming out of the Democratic National Convention seemed to be evaporating, our old friend David Corn released the now-infamous video showing opponent Mitt Romney trashing “the 47 percent.” Polls since then, including yesterday’s startling Gallup report—Obama’s favorable/unfavorable index widened a shocking 7 percent in one day to 51/43—have nearly all shown very bad trends for the Republican plutocrat.
And it’s having a strong effect in other races. Many Democratic candidates for the House and Senate are showing better poll positions and more freely backing the president now. In a key TV debate with Senator Scott Brown this week, Elizabeth Warren turned it into a virtual referendum on the president in a state still mad at Mitt for his choppy tenure as governor. Brown has unusually high favorable ratings, so Warren argued, If you don’t want the GOP to control the Senate and block Obama completely, then—vote for me.
Nearly all polls in the state last week showed a sudden reversal—with Warren now in the lead, in some cases by several points.
Romney’s declining fortunes in the polls since his private arguments were revealed in the “47 percent” vid have emboldened GOPers such as Joe Scarborough, David Frum, Peggy Noonan, David Brooks and even Bill Kristol to slam Romney. Brooks on Meet the Press yesterday called Romney the “least popular” candidate ever and also a “faker” who has adopted positons he doesn’t much care about. Such criticism provoked a revealing response from Ann “Two Caddy” Romney, who told the GOPers to, literally, “shut up”—how dare they insult her husband, the man who would save the country and maybe the world?
And now her husband has betrayed growing desperation. You really have to read this amazing new New York Times account of Romney, on his campaign plane yesterday, bitching to reporters about why he’s behind in key polls: (1) Obama’s constant lies about his record and views; (2) Obama’s opting out of federal funding on campaign financing has forced Mitt (poor guy who is so cash strapped) to spend way too much time doing fundraisers; (3) fact-checkers have fallen down on the job (even though his campaign said it would ignore fact-checks); (4) and more.