Allow me to inject a dose of reality. China's future is very clouded around 2021, due to several imbalances already in place and ripening.
The demographic imbalance caused by the "one child" policy looms over everything. During a similar period 1,250 years ago, major civil war raged for seventeen years, the Tai Ping Rebellion. There is no way to go back and re-balance the sex of births from the past decade.
This plays into gigantic regional economic disparities and the tensions they are producing.
The likelyhood of major internal conflict is extremely high, basded on the functioning of several political cycles, as shown in "Politicometrics."
John D. Froelich
Upper Darby, PA
Oct 7 2008 - 12:57am